One of the strongest NBA player props for Saturday, May 2, 2026 is Sam Hauser Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made. PropsBot’s AI gives this pick a 59.8% Confidence Score with a 1.1% Edge Score, signaling that the modeled probability sits a touch above the 64% implied probability priced into the market. Best available odds: -179.
Below is the full breakdown — Confidence Score, Edge Score, sportsbook odds comparison, and historical hit rate data — so you can make a data-backed decision before the 6:40 PM ET tipoff.
| Window | Hit Rate | Sportsbook | Line | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L5 / L10 / L20 | 80% / 70% / 65% | Best Available | 1.5 3PM | -179 |
| Season | 69% | Best Available | 1.5 3PM | -179 |
| H2H vs PHI | 61% | Best Available | 1.5 3PM | -179 |
Is Sam Hauser a good Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made bet on May 2, 2026?
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Why Sam Hauser Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made?
PropsBot’s AI models assigned a 59.8% Confidence Score to Hauser clearing 1.5 made threes against Philadelphia. That threshold qualifies as Moderate Confidence — the model ensemble leans toward the over without strong conviction. The pick carries a thin 1.1% Edge Score, indicating PropsBot’s modeled probability sits just above the 64% implied probability that the -179 price suggests. The historical hit rate is the strongest part of this bet’s profile.
Historical Performance at 1.5 3-Pointers Made
Hauser has cleared 1.5 made threes in 80% of his last 5 games, 70% of his last 10, and 65% of his last 20 — a steady upward trend in recent form. Season-long, he sits at 69%, and against Philadelphia specifically he has hit 1.5+ threes in 61% of head-to-head matchups. The L5 number is the standout: Hauser has been on a heater from deep, and the line at 1.5 is the floor on his typical workload as one of Boston’s primary spot-up shooters.
Matchup Context: PHI @ BOS
The matchup is favorable for volume. Philadelphia plays at a 102.4 pace — meaningfully faster than Boston’s 97.5 — which inflates total possessions and gives Hauser more catch-and-shoot opportunities. The 76ers also allow 38.3 opponent 3-point attempts per game, well above league average, and the 113.3 defensive rating gives shooters clean looks in the half-court. Hauser’s 83.9% three-point attempt rate (essentially every shot he takes is a three) and his .393 long-range percentage on 6.5 attempts per game are the volume engine. Boston is favored by 8 with a 205.5 game total — a full 48 minutes of regular rotation should keep Hauser on the floor for his typical 23 minutes.
Best Line Available
The cleanest available price across PropsBot’s tracked books is -179 on Sam Hauser Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made. The implied probability at that price is roughly 64%, which sits inside Hauser’s L20 hit rate of 65% and well below his L5 of 80%. Always shop multiple sportsbooks at game time — line movement on three-pointer props is common as starting lineups and minute projections firm up.
How PropsBot Analyzes NBA 3-Pointers Made Props
PropsBot’s AI evaluates NBA 3-pointer props using multiple models trained on player usage rates, minutes projections, pace-adjusted statistics, rest days, and opponent defensive matchup tendencies. Those estimates are synthesized into a single Confidence Score — a percentage representing model agreement. The Edge Score identifies when sportsbook odds differ meaningfully from PropsBot’s modeled probability.
More NBA Player Props — May 2, 2026
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Sources & Verification
- Career stats: Sam Hauser on NBA.com
- Advanced metrics: 3PA, 3P% & usage on Basketball-Reference
- Game info: 76ers at Celtics on May 2, 2026
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PropsBot is a research and analytics tool — not a picks service. Picks reflect AI model output as of May 2, 2026 and may be updated; see our Corrections Policy for how we handle changes after publication. Odds are subject to change.
