PropsBot’s Alternate Lines board grades every over-only rung on the Hits + Runs + RBIs ladder and sorts the whole slate by edge. For July 12, 2026 it is tracking 145 hitters. Below are the standout ladders on today’s card, each led by its best-value line (the starred rung), with the projected hit rate, the historical sample, and the edge PropsBot’s model assigns. Every number here is straight off the board — nothing is a lock, and the deeper rungs carry more risk for more edge.
Esmerlyn Valdez — PIT vs MIL, 12:16 PM ET
Esmerlyn Valdez is the board’s read on the H+R+RBI ladder for Pirates-Brewers. The sharpest rung is 2+ H+R+RBI, projected at 80% with a +30.5 edge (historical 17/27). The 2+ line is the value spot: same 80% projection as 1+ but a far bigger edge.
| Line | Projected | Historical | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ | 80% | 17/27 | +9.3 |
| 2+ ★ best value | 80% | 17/27 | +30.5 |
| 3+ | 60% | 13/27 | +26.1 |
| 4+ | 40% | 10/27 | +18.5 |
| 5+ | 30% | 6/27 | +17.2 |
| 6+ | 20% | 4/27 | — |
Brice Turang — MIL @ PIT, 12:16 PM ET
Brice Turang is the board’s read on the H+R+RBI ladder for Brewers-Pirates. The sharpest rung is 3+ H+R+RBI, projected at 60% with a +28.1 edge (historical 36/90). Turang’s ladder holds edge deep — even the 4+ rung carries +20.2.
| Line | Projected | Historical | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ | 80% | 74/90 | +8.7 |
| 2+ | 70% | 54/90 | +21.5 |
| 3+ ★ best value | 60% | 36/90 | +28.1 |
| 4+ | 40% | 24/90 | +20.2 |
| 5+ | 20% | 14/90 | +8.2 |
| 6+ | 20% | 12/90 | — |
Brandon Lowe — PIT vs MIL, 12:16 PM ET
Brandon Lowe is the board’s read on the H+R+RBI ladder for Pirates-Brewers. The sharpest rung is 3+ H+R+RBI, projected at 60% with a +27.5 edge (historical 37/89). The floor is strong (90% at 1+) but the edge lives at 3+.
| Line | Projected | Historical | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ | 90% | 68/89 | +22.7 |
| 2+ | 70% | 45/89 | +23.3 |
| 3+ ★ best value | 60% | 37/89 | +27.5 |
| 4+ | 20% | 25/89 | -0.9 |
| 5+ | 20% | 15/89 | +7.3 |
| 6+ | 10% | 8/89 | — |
See the full MLB Hits + Runs + RBIs board
These are three of 145 hitters on today’s over-only ladder. PropsBot scores every rung for every player and re-sorts by edge as lines move. The full board is free at app.propsbot.ai.
Responsible gambling. Alternate-line ladders are higher-variance by design — the longer rungs hit less often. For information and entertainment only; bet within your means, 21+ where required. Problem gambling? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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