The top WNBA pick today, Monday, July 13, 2026, is Valeriane Ayayi Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made (PHX @ MIN, 9:00 PM ET). PropsBot’s AI rates the pick at 58.5% Confidence with a 3.0% Edge Score, meaning the modeled probability sits three points above the implied probability priced into the market. Best available price: FanDuel -160.
Below is the full breakdown — Confidence Score, Edge Score, sportsbook odds comparison, and historical hit rate data — so you can make a data-backed decision before the 9:00 PM ET tipoff.
| Window | Under Hit Rate | Sportsbook | Line | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L5 / L10 / L20 | 40% / 60% / 73% | FanDuel | 1.5 3-Pointers Made | -160 |
| Season | 73% | FanDuel | 1.5 3-Pointers Made | -160 |
| H2H vs MIN | 100% | FanDuel | 1.5 3-Pointers Made | -160 |
Is Valeriane Ayayi a good Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made bet vs the Lynx on July 13?

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Why Valeriane Ayayi Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made vs the Lynx?
PropsBot’s AI models assigned a 58.5% Confidence Score to Valeriane Ayayi under 1.5 3-Pointers Made tonight. That threshold qualifies as Moderate Confidence in PropsBot’s framework. The pick carries a 3.0% Edge Score, with a -3.0% Confidence Gap between modeled and implied probability.
The Under is a volume bet, and Ayayi does not shoot enough threes to threaten this number often. She is averaging just 2.3 three-point attempts in 16.8 minutes a night, hitting them at a .310 clip. To clear 1.5 makes she needs two, and a role player getting under 17 minutes rarely gets there. The model lands at 58.5% on the Under with a 3.0% edge, and the matchup only helps: Minnesota is a tough cover that allows .314 shooting from three.
Historical Performance at 1.5 3-Pointers Made
Read the windows for the Under and they line up. Over 1.5 threes has hit just 27% of the time on the season and 27% across her last 20, meaning the Under has cashed in roughly three of every four games. The one warm stretch is recent: the Over cleared 60% over her last five, so this is a spot where the season floor outweighs a small hot streak.
Matchup Context: PHX @ MIN
Minnesota grades as a genuinely tough cover, with a 97.8 defensive rating and just .314 allowed from three. The total sits at 169.5 and Phoenix is a heavy favorite. None of that gives a low-minute, low-volume shooter much runway to bank two makes, which is the whole case for the Under.
Best Line Available
FanDuel posts the best number at -160, implying 62%. The model sits a touch higher at roughly 65% on the Under, which is where the 3.0% edge comes from. It is a modest price on a low-volume Under, not a bargain.
How PropsBot Grades WNBA 3-Pointers Made Picks
Every PropsBot pick is graded the morning after the game by an automated result-tracker that pulls box-score data from the league’s official site and marks the pick Hit, Miss, Push, or Voided (for player non-appearance). The graded outcome is appended to the post via a green/red callout block, and the per-pick history is published at Performance Methodology. Every entry includes the date, line, book, and graded outcome — nothing is retroactively edited.
How PropsBot Models WNBA 3-Pointers Made Props
Multiple AI models score the prop, then their consensus is summarized into a single Confidence Score and an Edge Score — full methodology at /performance-methodology/.
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Sources & Verification
- Career stats: Valeriane Ayayi on WNBA.com
- Advanced metrics: Valeriane Ayayi on Basketball-Reference (WNBA)
- Game info: PHX at MIN on July 13, 2026
Today’s Other AI Picks — July 13, 2026
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