PropsBot’s compact MLB home-run board for August 12, 2026 ranks 5 hitter targets, led by Royce Lewis at 7.9% model probability.
This is a research board, not a priced bet slip. The captured screen shows no sportsbook, odds or tier, so none is supplied here. Home-run probabilities are longshots by design; even the top row is more likely to miss than hit.
| Target | Matchup | Opposing pitcher | HR probability | BAT L7 | Barrels L14 | Wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Royce Lewis | MIN vs. Tampa Bay | Shane Baz (RHP) | 7.9% | 76.6 mph | 6 | 6 mph |
| 2. Drake Baldwin | ATL vs. Toronto | Z. Thornton (LHP) | not shown | 75.5 mph | 4 | 3 mph |
| 3. Ronald Acuña Jr. | ATL vs. Toronto | Z. Thornton (LHP) | not shown | 76.5 mph | 7 | 3 mph |
| 4. Corbin Carroll | ARI vs. Colorado | Ryan Feltner (RHP) | not shown | 75.9 mph | 3 | 8 mph |
| 5. Jackson Chourio | MIL vs. San Francisco | Robbie Ray (LHP) | not shown | 74.4 mph | 7 | 6 mph |
1. Royce Lewis
The board shows Royce Lewis at 7.9%, with BAT L7 of 76.6 mph and 6 barrels over the displayed window.
2. Drake Baldwin
The board ranks Drake Baldwin second with a 75.5 mph BAT L7 reading and four recent barrels. No home-run probability is displayed on this row.
3. Ronald Acuña Jr.
The board ranks Ronald Acuña Jr. third, shows seven recent barrels and a right-handed-batter matchup badge of +0.1. No home-run probability is displayed on this row.
4. Corbin Carroll
The board ranks Corbin Carroll fourth with a 75.9 mph BAT L7 reading and three recent barrels. No home-run probability is displayed on this row.
5. Jackson Chourio
The board ranks Jackson Chourio fifth with a 74.4 mph BAT L7 reading and seven recent barrels. No home-run probability is displayed on this row.
How to use this board
Use the ranking to narrow the slate, then verify lineup position and shop the live home-run price. The displayed contact metric and recent barrels describe contact quality; they do not guarantee a home run in one game. Wind is context, not a projection.
See the live board at app.propsbot.ai and review the performance methodology.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who leads the MLB home run hitter target board for August 12, 2026?
Royce Lewis leads the captured PropsBot board at 7.9% model probability.
Does this board include sportsbook odds?
No. The captured board includes probabilities and recent contact metrics, but no book, price or tier.
Responsible gambling. Home-run props are high-variance. For information and entertainment only; bet within your means, 21+ where required. Problem gambling? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit ncpgambling.org.
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