Georgia vs Alabama Predictions — Keelon Russell Prop Pick Oct 10

College football player props today — Georgia Bulldogs at Alabama Crimson Tide, Saturday, October 10, 2026 (7:30 PM ET) on ABC.

Georgia Alabama predictions

#2 Georgia visits #6 Alabama in a primetime SEC showdown. The number that sets the tone on Alabama’s side is Keelon Russell’s pass line — he has cleared today’s number in four of five logged games, and the one miss still sat at 188 yards.

The pick: Keelon Russell OVER 238.5 passing yards (-114, FanDuel)

• Market: Pass Yards OVER 238.5
• Price: -114 at FanDuel
• 2026 passing yards (ESPN / Sports-Reference game logs): 256 vs East Carolina, 188 at Kentucky, 320 vs Florida State, 365 vs South Carolina, 285 at Mississippi State — 282.8 per logged game
• Cleared 238.5: 4 of 5 logged games this season (missed only at Kentucky)

Russell is 94-of-132 for 1,414 yards, 11 touchdowns and two interceptions through five games (71.2%, 10.7 yards per attempt). His floor this season is 188; his last three games were 320, 365 and 285. Even on the road at Mississippi State he finished 45 yards over this line.

Georgia’s defense will force him to earn every throw, but Alabama has stayed on schedule through the air in every win. At -114 the book is pricing a near coin flip while Russell’s season average sits more than 40 yards over 238.5. We are on the OVER.

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