Is Cale Makar Over 0.5 Points a good bet today?

PropsBot's AI scores this Cale Makar points prop using a Confidence Score (0-100, model agreement) and an Edge Score (gap between modeled probability and sportsbook implied probability). The article above details Cale Makar's recent form, the matchup against today's opponent, and the best available odds across major sportsbooks. Read the full breakdown before placing any bet.

What is the best points for Cale Makar's Over prop?

The article lists current sportsbook odds — typical books include FanDuel, DraftKings, BetMGM, Caesars, Novig (sports exchange), and Hard Rock Bet (Ohio). The best price moves throughout the day; the article reflects the line live at publish time. Always line-shop before placing a bet.

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Cale Makar Over 0.5 Points — NHL Picks Today, May 9, 2026

Name: PropsBot.AI
Availability: InStock
Author: David Reilich

By David

Published May 9, 2026

The top NHL pick today, Saturday, May 9, 2026, is Cale Makar Over 0.5 Points (COL @ MIN, 9:10 PM ET). PropsBot’s AI rates the pick at 66.8% Confidence with a 2.3% Edge Score, meaning the modeled probability sits about two points above the implied probability priced into the market. Best available price: -220.

Below is the full breakdown — Confidence Score, Edge Score, sportsbook odds comparison, and historical hit rate data — so you can make a data-backed decision before the 9:10 PM ET puck drop.

Window	Hit Rate	Sportsbook	Line	Odds
L5 / L10 / L20	60% / 70% / 60%	Best market	0.5 Points	-220
Season	69%	Best market	0.5 Points	-220
H2H vs MIN	40%	Best market	0.5 Points	-220

Is Cale Makar a good Over 0.5 Points bet on May 9, 2026?

By David Reilich, Founder of PropsBot.AI · Last updated Saturday, May 9, 2026 · Methodology · Editorial standards

Want more picks? PropsBot’s AI generates 50+ scored player prop predictions every day across NBA, MLB, NHL, and NFL. Try PropsBot free →

Why Cale Makar Over 0.5 Points?

Makar’s 66.8% Confidence puts this in the High Confidence bucket. The 2.3% Edge is small, but the price (-220) implies 69% and the model has true closer to 71%. The lift comes from ice time, not a tilted matchup — 24.8 TOI per game with 3.9 minutes on the power play means he’s on the ice for almost 40% of every game and most of every man-advantage. Avalanche team GF/Gm of 3.7 says volume is there for a defenseman who runs the top unit.

Historical Performance at 0.5 Points

Season number is the cleanest read: 69% on a heavy sample, exactly where the market is pricing it. L10 climbs to 70%, L5 dips to 60%. The H2H against Minnesota is the row that drags — 40% in a small sample, which is a flag but not enough to override the volume profile. The model is leaning on the season + L10 over the H2H here.

Matchup Context: COL @ MIN

Minnesota’s defensive context is middling: opp GA/Gm 2.9, opp SV% .903, opp PIM/Gm 7.8. The penalty rate is the leverage point — if Minnesota takes its usual 2-3 minor penalties, Makar logs another 4-6 minutes on PP1 with the puck on his stick. Game total is 6.5, slightly above the league baseline, which gives the volume profile room to clear an assist or a shot-from-the-point goal. Makar’s xPoints/60 of 0.6 understates the lift — PP TOI does the lifting.

Best Line Available

The best price across the major books today is -220. That’s a juiced number, but Makar at 0.5 points is one of the most consistently cleared lines in the NHL when he’s healthy and skating top minutes. Take it at -220; alternates at -120 / -140 across PP-only lines exist but trade safety for marginal price.

Recent Track Record on PropsBot’s NHL Points Picks

Across the last 30 days of PropsBot’s NHL points picks at High Confidence (Confidence Score 65–79%), the public ledger tracks every entry — date, line, book, graded outcome — at Performance Methodology.

How PropsBot Models NHL Points Props

Multiple AI models score the prop, then their consensus is summarized into a single Confidence Score and an Edge Score — full methodology at /performance-methodology/.

More NHL Player Props — May 9, 2026

Today’s full NHL slate is available inside PropsBot with Confidence Scores, Edge Scores, and multi-book odds comparisons across goals, assists, shots, and goalie saves. Sign up free to access every pick before puck drop.

More PropsBot Resources

Glossary — key terms in this pick

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Sources & Verification

Career stats: Cale Makar on NHL.com
Advanced metrics: Cale Makar advanced stats on Hockey-Reference
Game info: Colorado at Minnesota on May 9, 2026

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PropsBot is a research and analytics tool — not a picks service. Picks reflect AI model output as of May 9, 2026 and may be updated; see our Corrections Policy for how we handle changes after publication. Odds are subject to change.

Today’s Other AI Picks — May 9, 2026

See every PropsBot NHL daily pick (newest first): /category/nhl-picks/

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