The highest-confidence MLB pick today, Thursday, May 7, 2026, is Dane Myers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (CIN @ CHC, 2:21 PM ET). PropsBot’s AI rates the pick at 74.8% Confidence with a 1.3% Edge Score, meaning the modeled probability sits above the implied probability priced into the market. Best available price: Hard Rock Bet -135.
Below is the full breakdown — Confidence Score, Edge Score, sportsbook odds comparison, and historical hit rate data — so you can make a data-backed decision before the 2:21 PM ET first pitch.
| Window | Under Hit Rate | Sportsbook | Line | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L5 / L10 / L20 | 80% / 70% / 75% | Hard Rock Bet | 1.5 H+R+RBI | -135 |
| Season | 80% | Hard Rock Bet | 1.5 H+R+RBI | -135 |
| H2H vs CHC | 100% | Hard Rock Bet | 1.5 H+R+RBI | -135 |
Is Dane Myers a good Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs bet on May 7?

Research and analytics output, not betting advice. 21+ where required. 1-800-GAMBLER · ncpgambling.org.
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Why Dane Myers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs?
The model lands at 74.8% Confidence Score — High Confidence band — with a positive 1.3% Edge Score and a +17.0% Confidence Gap, the largest gap on today’s MLB board. Myers has cleared 1.5 H+R+RBI in 1 of his last 5 games. The bat profile (.730 OPS, 29.4% Hard Hit%, 0.39 H/G) doesn’t push the line. Imanaga on the mound limits the upside paths. The Under is the math.
Historical Performance at 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
Read these as Under hit rates: 80% L5, 70% L10, 75% L20, 80% on the season. H2H vs the Cubs reads 100% — Myers has never cleared 1.5 H+R+RBI in this matchup history. The 0.39 hits per game and 0.13 RBI/G translate to a player who, on most nights, doesn’t get one of those three things, let alone two. The line is set where it punishes a bat that’s been quiet — and the model agrees.
Matchup Context: CIN @ CHC
Wrigley afternoon game. Shota Imanaga, lefty, in front of the Cubs faithful. Cincinnati’s implied team total is just 3.0 runs — the lowest of any side in today’s slate — and the run line has CIN +1.5. Myers is a right-handed bat, but his profile against quality lefties hasn’t translated to volume; he’s hitting .261 AVG with .326 SLG. The path to clearing this line is a multi-hit game or a hit-plus-run. With Imanaga’s command and the Reds projected for 3 runs, neither path looks accessible.
Best Line Available
Hard Rock Bet at -135 is the price the player feed surfaces here. Implied 58%, model says 74.8% — that’s the +17% Confidence Gap. Anything sub -140 is still grading positive. If you can find -125 or shorter the math gets uncomfortable for the book. Shop the price.
Recent Track Record on PropsBot’s MLB Hits + Runs + RBIs Picks
PropsBot’s MLB H+R+RBI picks at High Confidence (65–79%) are the highest-conviction tier the model produces in this market. Full pick-by-pick history is published at Performance Methodology — every entry includes the date, line, book, and graded outcome.
How PropsBot Models MLB Hits + Runs + RBIs Props
Multiple AI models trained on pitcher-batter matchup data, ballpark factors, weather conditions, platoon splits, and real-time lineup confirmations score the prop. Their consensus rolls into a single Confidence Score and Edge Score — full methodology at /performance-methodology/.
More MLB Player Props — May 7, 2026
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Glossary — key terms in this pick
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Sources & Verification
- Career stats: Dane Myers on MLB.com
- Advanced metrics: Statcast Hard Hit% and barrel rate
- Game info: Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs on May 7, 2026
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PropsBot is a research and analytics tool — not a picks service. Picks reflect AI model output as of May 7, 2026 and may be updated; see our Corrections Policy for how we handle changes after publication. Odds are subject to change.
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See every PropsBot MLB daily pick (newest first): /category/mlb-picks/