MLS Shots Props Today — Where the Market Sits, July 22, 2026

PropsBot’s MLS shots board for July 22 ranks every hitter on the slate, and today it carries a clear message worth stating plainly: the top shots lines show no positive model edge. Every one of the names below sits at a negative edge, meaning the price is at or worse than the model’s fair value. This is a where-the-market-sits post, not a value board.

Today’s MLS Shots Market

Player	Team	Line	Best price	Model edge	Recent hit rate	Avg shots
Jorge Ruvalcaba	New York Red Bulls	1.5	FanDuel -160	-2.5%	60% (6 of 10)	1.7
Francis Westfield	Philadelphia Union	0.5	1xBet -163	-10.3%	55.6% (5 of 9)	0.89
Ronald Donkor	New York Red Bulls	0.5	FanDuel -135	-30.4%	40% (4 of 10)	0.4

The least-bad of the three is Jorge Ruvalcaba at a -2.5% edge — a small negative, with a 60% recent hit rate on a 1.5 line and a 1.7 shot average that at least clears the number on form. Francis Westfield (-10.3%) and Ronald Donkor (-30.4%) are priced well past their history; Donkor in particular has cleared his 0.5 line only 40% of the time yet is laid at -135. None of these is a play at the current numbers.

Why Publish a Board With No Edge?

Because the honest answer some days is that the market is efficient and there is nothing to attack. PropsBot grades every MLS shots line the same way whether the edge is positive or negative, and a negative board is a real signal — it tells you to look elsewhere rather than force a play. Prices move; the model re-sorts as they do. Check the live board at app.propsbot.ai for the current reads.