Week 2 props (updated September 14, 2026)
Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs — Sunday, September 20 at 8:20 PM ET. 2 markets posted on Jonathan Taylor at capture.
| Market | Line | Best sportsbook price (book) | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 79.5 | PrizePicks (pick’em) | not scored yet |
| Receiving yards | 19.5 | PrizePicks (pick’em) | not scored yet |
Lines captured September 14, 2026 at 6:48 PM ET from the PropsBot board. They move; the board has the live number. “Pick’em” means only PrizePicks or Underdog had posted the market when we looked — no sportsbook price to shop yet. “Not scored yet” means the model had not published a confidence for that market at capture.
Model lean: none of his markets are scored yet. Confidence lands on the board as the week’s data fills in.
What he did in Week 1
Indianapolis lost 41–23 to Baltimore at home. Taylor ran 19 times for 98 yards and 2 touchdowns with a long of 21, caught 3 of 4 targets for 23 yards, and lost a fumble.
Where the model was right last week
These leans held from the first capture to kickoff (no side flip) and won:
- Over 76.5 rushing yards — he had 98 (FanDuel −113)
Jonathan Taylor props FAQ
What is Jonathan Taylor’s rushing yards line this week?
79.5 rushing yards on the pick’em boards (PrizePicks — no sportsbook had posted it when we captured), as of September 14, 2026. The model has not scored it yet.
Is Jonathan Taylor a good anytime TD bet this week?
No anytime touchdown line was posted on him when we captured the board (September 14, 2026). He scored 2 touchdowns in Week 1 against the Baltimore Ravens (2 rushing). Check the live board for a posted price.
Where can I see Jonathan Taylor’s live props?
On the PropsBot NFL board: https://web.propsbot.ai/board?sport=nfl. It carries every posted market with the current line, the best price across books and the model’s confidence. A monthly plan is at https://web.propsbot.ai/signup?plan=monthly.
Live lines: https://web.propsbot.ai/board?sport=nfl. Model output is research, not a guarantee. 21+.
Quick Answer
Jonathan Taylor player props should be judged by the current line, price, role, and market fit, not by name value alone. Start with Rushing Yards, Long Rush, TD Projections, compare the number across books, then use PropsBot’s model edge and tracking context to decide whether the prop is still playable today.
Quick answer: Jonathan Taylor is the zone-scheme RB with home-run speed. His weekly board: rushing yards over 80.5 to 100.5 (-110 to -125), longest rush over 17.5 to 24.5 (-115 to -135), total TDs over 0.5 (-130 to -170), receptions over 2.5 (-115 to -135), and scrimmage yards over 95.5 to 115.5. The edge on Taylor lives in his longest rush prop and rushing yards over against bottom-half run defenses.
What Drives Taylor’s Production
Zone-scheme fit: Colts use outside-zone heavily; Taylor’s vision and acceleration create explosive runs. Opposing run defense ranking dominates. Game script: leading scripts produce 20+ carries; trailing drops to 14-16.
Long Rush and TDs
Longest rush over 18.5 hits ~58-65% in neutral matchups; the over has more value against teams with weak edge contain. Total TDs over 0.5 hits ~62-68% in neutral matchups.
Where the Sharp Edge Lives
Rushing yards over against bottom-15 run defenses. Longest rush over against weak edge contain. TDs over in red-zone-heavy game scripts.
Common Mistakes
Ignoring offensive line health (his zone scheme requires healthy interior). Parlaying same-game props. Chasing primetime games.
Worked Example
Week 6, Colts vs Texans, projected close spread. Texans run defense ranks 21st. Taylor rushing yards over 88.5 at -110. Model projects 100+.
Frequently Asked Questions
What’s Taylor’s typical rushing yards line?
80.5 to 100.5 depending on matchup.
Are Taylor longest rush overs profitable?
With matchup awareness, yes. Weak edge contain teams produce 5-8 percentage point edges over implied.
What’s Taylor’s TDs line?
0.5 priced -130 to -170. Higher in red-zone-heavy spreads.
How does PropsBot project Taylor?
Calibrated probability with run defense, edge contain quality, OL health, and game script inputs.
Should I bet Taylor in primetime?
Public hammers his over markets in primetime. Take contrarian under against top-10 run defenses; over has value in plus matchups.
Updated 2026-05-04. For live picks on Jonathan Taylor, visit the PropsBot.AI board. Browse the full player prop hub or our 80-entry sports betting glossary.
How To Read Jonathan Taylor Props
For Jonathan Taylor, the edge usually lives in the gap between projection and price. The first job is to identify exactly what the sportsbook is asking you to bet: Rushing Yards, Long Rush, TD Projections. Those markets can point to the same player and still require different evidence.
PropsBot is most useful here when it keeps the decision accountable: what does the model see, what is the book offering, and what has changed since the open? A good prop page should make the decision easier without pretending every projection is a pick. If PropsBot shows a lean, the next question is whether the available book price still leaves enough expected value after the market has adjusted.
Market Notes
Rushing Yards: For rushing yards, look at carries, designed touches, game script, offensive line health, and whether the opponent can force the offense away from a normal rushing plan.
TD Projections: For touchdown props, treat the number as a payout and role question. Red-zone usage, route participation near the goal line, team implied total, and price are more important than simply liking the matchup.
What Moves The Number
For Jonathan Taylor, line movement should be read alongside news, not in isolation. A move can be sharp money, public demand, a book correcting a stale opener, or a response to an injury report. The difference matters because following a worse number can turn a good read into a bad bet.
Check role first. For football props, that means routes, snaps, carries, red-zone work, and game script. For basketball props, it means minutes, usage, pace, and teammate availability. For baseball props, it means lineup spot, pitcher matchup, handedness, weather, and park context. For hockey props, it means ice time, line assignment, power-play role, and shot environment.
Then check price. Two books can post the same Jonathan Taylor prop with very different juice, and that difference is often the entire edge. PropsBot’s odds-shopping workflow is built for that exact moment: find the best number, compare it to the model, and avoid taking a stale or overpriced side just because the prop looks familiar.
When To Pass
The best answer is not always over or under. Pass when the line moved through the model edge, when injury news is still unresolved, when the player role is unstable, or when the book with the best number is no longer available to you. That kind of discipline matters more on player props than on almost any other betting market because small prices compound over a season.
It also keeps the page honest for returning users. A prop that made sense in the morning can be gone by tipoff, kickoff, puck drop, or first pitch. If the edge depends on a stale line, it is not an edge anymore.
Use this page as a research stop, then connect it to the broader PropsBot workflow: today’s slate, available books, model confidence, tracked results, and bankroll rules. The goal is not to bet every Jonathan Taylor market. The goal is to recognize the few spots where the line, projection, and price are all pointing in the same direction.
