Quick answer: Jordan Addison is the deep-threat WR2 alongside Jefferson. His weekly board: receiving yards over 50.5 to 70.5 (-110 to -125), receptions over 4.5 to 5.5 (-115 to -135), longest reception over 20.5 to 28.5 (-115 to -130), total TDs over 0.5 (+125 to +180). The edge lives in his target share spike when Jefferson draws shadow CB.
What Drives Addison’s Production
QB chemistry. Jefferson’s coverage assignment. Opposing CB depth.
Long Reception
Long reception over 22.5 hits ~55-60%.
Where the Sharp Edge Lives
Receptions over when Jefferson draws shadow CB. Long reception over against Cover-1 teams. TDs over in plus matchups.
Common Mistakes
Ignoring Jefferson’s coverage. Same-game parlay traps.
Worked Example
Week 8, Vikings home dome, Jefferson on shadow CB. Addison receiving yards over 65.5 at -115. Model projects 78+.
Frequently Asked Questions
What’s Addison’s typical receiving yards line?
50.5-70.5 depending on matchup.
Does Jefferson status affect Addison?
Yes. When Jefferson draws shadow, Addison’s targets spike.
Are Addison TDs over profitable?
Yes in plus matchups.
How does PropsBot project Addison?
Calibrated probability with QB status, Jefferson coverage, opposing CB, and game script.
Should I bet Addison over Jefferson?
Take whichever has bigger matchup-specific edge.
Updated 2026-05-04. For live picks on Jordan Addison, visit the PropsBot.AI dashboard. Browse the full player prop hub or our 80-entry sports betting glossary.
