Quick Answer
This week’s PropsBot pricing report found 902 comparable exact-line WNBA prop points across 5 US sportsbooks. The median gap between the best and worst price on the same prop was 2.119 implied-probability points on overs and 1.691 on unders. The 90th percentile reached 4.452 points on overs, and the single widest gap was 14.654 points on a player rebounds over.
Quick answer: WNBA prop prices are not the same at every book. On the exact same player, market, side, and line, captured about 90 minutes before tip, the typical two-book spread was 2.119 points of break-even probability on the over. Near even money that’s roughly the difference between -110 and -120 juice on the identical bet. Assists and made threes overs showed the widest typical gaps (medians of 2.902 and 2.871). Combo props like points + rebounds were priced the tightest (over median 1.274). Shopping one extra book before you bet a WNBA prop is worth real money over a season.
This Week’s WNBA Numbers, By Market
Every row below holds the player, game, market, side, and exact prop point constant. The gap is the distance between the highest and lowest raw implied probability posted across the books in the cohort. Bigger number, bigger disagreement between books on the same bet.
| Market | Over obs | Over median gap | Over p90 gap | Under median gap | Widest single gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player assists | 140 | 2.902 pp | 5.783 pp | 2.112 pp | 13.806 pp (over) |
| Player made threes | 111 | 2.871 pp | 5.102 pp | 1.828 pp | 12.549 pp (over) |
| Player rebounds | 161 | 2.574 pp | 5.221 pp | 1.907 pp | 14.654 pp (over) |
| Player points | 167 | 2.153 pp | 3.695 pp | 1.869 pp | 5.990 pp (over) |
| Points + rebounds + assists | 90 | 1.567 pp | 3.264 pp | 1.516 pp | 5.730 pp (under) |
| Rebounds + assists | 56 | 1.748 pp | 3.713 pp | 1.465 pp | 5.221 pp (over) |
| Points + rebounds | 107 | 1.274 pp | 3.089 pp | 1.144 pp | 4.772 pp (over) |
| Points + assists | 70 | 1.442 pp | 3.669 pp | 1.311 pp | 4.973 pp (over) |
All figures are percentage points of raw implied probability, margin included. Player points was the most frequently comparable market in the cohort, with 328 side-level observations across over and under.
Where the WNBA Pricing Edge Lives
Three patterns stood out. First: overs gap wider than unders in every market tracked. Books disagree more about how high a player can go than about the floor, and the public leaning over gives books room to post different over prices without getting punished. Second: the niche markets are where the disagreement lives. Assists and made threes carried the fattest medians — 2.902 and 2.871 on overs, with p90s over 5 points. The headline points market, the one everyone bets, was priced noticeably tighter. Third: combo props are the sharp end of the board. Points + rebounds overs had a 1.274 median gap, the tightest on the page. Books copy each other on the combos and freelance on the fringes.
The widest single gap of the week, 14.654 points on a rebounds over, is the extreme case, not the norm. But a 4.452-point p90 on overs means one in ten comparable overs sat more than four points of break-even probability apart across books. Take that kind of price difference on the same bet for a full WNBA season and it swamps most model edges.
What This Means for Your WNBA Bets
The fix is boring and it works: check two or three books before you bet. A 2.119-point median gap doesn’t sound like much until you convert it. At standard prop pricing, that’s the difference between laying -110 and laying -120 on the identical over. You don’t need a better pick to capture that — you need a better price on the pick you already made. PropsBot.AI’s odds-shopping workflow exists for exactly this: find the prop, find the best posted number, then decide if the model edge survives the price.
What these numbers do not tell you: which side wins, which book is “best,” or anything about closing-line value. A wide gap means the books disagreed. Somebody was wrong. This report doesn’t grade who.
Frequently Asked Questions
How big is the typical WNBA prop price difference between sportsbooks?
This week’s median was 2.119 implied-probability points on overs and 1.691 on unders across 902 exact-line prop points and 5 books. One in ten overs was more than 4.452 points apart. Near even money, the median gap is roughly -110 versus -120 on the same bet.
Which WNBA prop markets have the widest price gaps?
Assists (2.902 over median) and made threes (2.871) led the board this week, with rebounds close behind at 2.574. Combo markets like points + rebounds were the tightest at 1.274. Books shade the fringe markets and copy each other on the combos.
Does a big price gap mean one book has a bad line?
It means the books disagree on the identical bet. A 14.654-point gap on a rebounds over says somebody’s price was far from the pack — the report doesn’t settle who was right. For a bettor the actionable part is simpler: the same prop was a lot cheaper somewhere.
How does PropsBot measure WNBA prop price gaps?
Snapshots land 60 to 120 minutes before tip; the observation nearest 90 minutes wins per book. The sport, event, market, player, side, and exact prop point must match across at least two books, captured within five minutes of each other. American odds convert to raw implied probability, and the gap is max minus min. A sport publishes only after 20 exact-line points and 20 side comparisons clear the gate.
Where can I get today’s WNBA prop picks and prices?
The WNBA bets today page carries the current slate, and the player prop hub covers individual players. The full weekly dataset is in the main pricing report, with a downloadable aggregate package.
Updated 2026-07-24. Data window July 14–21, 2026. For live WNBA picks, visit the PropsBot.AI dashboard. Browse the full player prop hub or our sports betting glossary.
Methodology In Brief
Seven-day UTC window. Pregame snapshots only, 60 to 120 minutes before start. Exact-line identity: same sport, event, market, player, side, and prop point — a cheaper price on a worse line gets excluded, not rewarded. At least two books, no more than five minutes between captures. Raw implied probability, over and under analyzed separately, gap reported as max minus min in percentage points. Full method notes ship in the downloadable package.
Download The Data
The aggregate CSV, JSON, method notes, and SHA-256 manifest for this edition are free: propsbot-weekly-pricing-research-2026-07-21 (zip). The package is aggregate-only — no raw prices, player names, or event identifiers. Cite it as PropsBot.AI Weekly Sportsbook Pricing Report, edition ending 2026-07-21, with a link back to the main report.
