Also on the MLB slate today, an MLB pick today, Thursday, July 24, 2026, is Cam Schlittler Over 7.5 Strikeouts (NYY @ PHI, 6:46 PM ET). PropsBot’s AI rates the pick at 44.5% Confidence with a 5.6% Edge Score, meaning the modeled probability sits over five points above the implied probability priced into the market. Best available price: Pinnacle +123.

Below is the full breakdown — Confidence Score, Edge Score, sportsbook odds comparison, and historical hit rate data — so you can make a data-backed decision before the 6:46 PM ET first pitch.

WindowOver Hit RateSportsbookLineOdds
L5 / L10 / L2060% / 40% / 35%Pinnacle7.5 Strikeouts+123
Season38%Pinnacle7.5 Strikeouts+123
H2H vs PHI0%Pinnacle7.5 Strikeouts+123

Is Cam Schlittler a good Over 7.5 Strikeouts bet vs the Phillies on July 24?

PropsBot AI player detail screen showing Cam Schlittler Over 7.5 Strikeouts pick with 44.5% Confidence Score, 5.6% Edge Score, and sportsbook odds for NYY at PHI on July 24, 2026

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Why Cam Schlittler Over 7.5 Strikeouts vs the Phillies?

PropsBot’s AI models assigned a 44.5% Confidence Score to Cam Schlittler over 7.5 Strikeouts tonight. That threshold qualifies as Speculative in PropsBot’s framework. The pick carries a 5.6% Edge Score, with a -0.3% Confidence Gap between modeled and implied probability.

Be upfront: this is a speculative, plus-money strikeout play and the Confidence Score is under 50% at 44.5%. But it isn’t a dart. Schlittler’s stuff is loud — a 10.6 K/9, a 29.7% pitcher strikeout rate and a 14.8% swinging-strike mark — and against a Philadelphia lineup that makes contact at 73.1% but chases 32.1%, the whiffs are there. The 5.6% Edge Score is actually the largest on today’s card; the low confidence reflects a steep 7.5 line, not a bad arm.

Historical Performance at 7.5 Strikeouts

The log is a mixed bag and the number is the reason. The Over on 7.5 Strikeouts hit 3 of his last 5 but only 4 of 10 and 7 of 20, and 38% on the season, with no head-to-head against the Phillies. That’s what a demanding line looks like — he has the ceiling to blow past it and the floor to fall a punchout short. Treat this as a ceiling bet at plus money, not a safe one.

Matchup Context: NYY @ PHI

Philadelphia’s 25.3% team strikeout rate against a right-hander gives Schlittler live at-bats to work with, and he averages 5.9 innings on 91.3 pitches a start. The opponent block passed just 1 of 3, so the case rests on his own strikeout stuff carrying a high line rather than the matchup handing it to him.

Best Line Available

Pinnacle +123, implied 45%. The model has it a shade higher, which is where the plus-money value lives — you’re getting paid to take a high-ceiling arm over a steep number. Size it like the longshot it is.

How PropsBot Grades MLB Strikeouts Picks

Every PropsBot pick is graded the morning after the game by an automated result-tracker that pulls box-score data from MLB.com / NHL.com / NBA.com / NFL.com and marks the pick Hit, Miss, Push, or Voided (for player non-appearance). The graded outcome is appended to the post via a green/red callout block, and the per-pick history is published at Performance Methodology. Every entry includes the date, line, book, and graded outcome — nothing is retroactively edited.

How PropsBot Models MLB Strikeouts Props

Multiple AI models score the prop, then their consensus is summarized into a single Confidence Score and an Edge Score — full methodology at /performance-methodology/.

More MLB Player Props — July 24, 2026

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