The Sparks are on a six-game skid and already lost twice to this Sun team, including 85-77 five days ago. Brittney Griner is out (knee). Aaliyah Edwards is out (ankle). That is the Sun vs Sparks prediction, not a home-favorite graphic after Los Angeles just gave up 124 points to Atlanta. If you are laying points with a team that cannot close a game, you are betting the building, not the roster.
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Tip is 9:00 PM ET at Crypto.com Arena. AP has Connecticut 9-26 (2-13 East, 3-14 on the road) and Los Angeles 12-24 (7-11 West, 5-12 at home). Third meeting. Sun won both. Olivia Nelson-Ododa scored 18 in the Aug. 18 win. The Sparks’ last home night was a 124-88 loss to the Dream — the same Dream that plays Phoenix an hour after this one tips. Defensive structure is not a slogan in Los Angeles right now. It is a 94.3-point last-10 problem.
Who to target in Sun vs Sparks player props today
Nelson-Ododa is the Sun name with recent tape against this roster. AP has her at 10.3 points and 6.1 rebounds on the season and 18 in the last meeting. Kennedy Burke is at 1.8 made threes over the last 10. Connecticut is shooting 43.0% from the field for the year and 41.2% over the last 10. That is a grind offense. It already beat this Sparks team twice without Griner and Edwards. Do not invent a Griner minutes number. She is out.
Nneka Ogwumike is the Sparks mark you can actually price. 16.7 points, 8.7 rebounds, 3.1 assists. AP listed no Sparks injuries. Rae Burrell is at 17.3 points and 3.5 assists over the last 10. Los Angeles is scoring 88.0 a night and allowing 93.6. Connecticut allows 87.3. That 0.7-point gap is the whole “home favorite” argument, and it did not survive the last two meetings or the last six games.
The skid is the spread
TeamRankings posted Los Angeles -3.5 with a 168.5 total as a Saturday snapshot. That is a book number, not a PropsBot model. Connecticut just lost 101-78 at Las Vegas. Los Angeles just lost 124-88 at home. AP confirmed the Sun won both meetings and the last one 85-77. The total is a fight between a leaking Sparks defense and two offenses that have been stuck in the 70s and 80s. Check the live number. Do not assume 169 just because Atlanta hung 124 here Thursday.
| Confirmed mark | Connecticut | Los Angeles |
|---|---|---|
| Record (AP) | 9-26 | 12-24 |
| Home/road | 3-14 away | 5-12 home |
| Points per game | — | 88.0 |
| Points allowed | 87.3 | 93.6 |
| Last 10 | 2-8, 76.8 PPG | 2-8, 87.3 PPG |
| Injuries (AP) | Griner out (knee), Edwards out (ankle) | None listed |
| Last meeting | Sun 85-77 on Aug. 18; Nelson-Ododa 18 | |
Sources: Associated Press preview for Aug. 22; AP recap context on the six-game skid and the 85-77 result. TeamRankings spread/total as a public snapshot only.
How to bet WNBA predictions today without guessing the model
Sun plus the number is the side that matches the last two games and the skid. It is still a 3-14 road team. That keeps it from being a hammer. Ogwumike’s points/rebounds are the cleanest Sparks props because she does not need the skid to break to post a line. Nelson-Ododa vs. this frontcourt is the Sun prop with actual H2H tape. Live WNBA player props today are in the PropsBot app. Don’t guess a percentage off a recap.
Sun vs Sparks FAQ — August 22, 2026
Why are the Sparks a home favorite on a six-game skid?
Because they are 12-24 against a 9-26 Sun team and they score 88.0 against a defense allowing 87.3. That is the AP math. It is also the math that already lost twice to Connecticut and just allowed 124 to Atlanta. The building is not covering the spread.
Are Brittney Griner and Aaliyah Edwards playing?
No. AP lists Griner out (knee) and Edwards out (ankle). Connecticut already beat Los Angeles twice in that configuration. Do not price a Griner minutes market.
What happened the last time these teams played?
Sun 85-77 on August 18. Nelson-Ododa 18 points. Third meeting Saturday. Connecticut won the first two.
Where is the PropsBot win percentage?
Not in this article. No invented 58/42. Get the live WNBA board at app.propsbot.ai.
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