Courtney Williams over 3.5 assists is the PropsBot read for Indiana Fever at Minnesota Lynx on Sunday, August 2, 2026. The visible market reference is -138 at DraftKings.
Model and matchup read
Williams shows strong recent and head-to-head over rates, with a favorable matchup grade, but her confidence is slightly below the displayed implied probability.
- 57.3% confidence versus 58% implied
- Displayed edge 7.0% with a -0.7 confidence gap
- Over rate: L5 80%, L10 70%, L20 65%, H2H 75%
- 22.0% assist rate and 7.0 ball-dominance score
How to use this read
Confirm the live line, opponent, lineup and price before acting. Alternate lines, outrights, home-run markets and model-versus-market calls carry higher variance and are published with their visible caveats intact.
Source and verification
The direction, line and supporting figures were transcribed from the supplied PropsBot screen and date-gated for August 2, 2026. This content is informational and is not financial advice.
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