PropsBot tutorial #4 · David, PropsBot founder · published May 13, 2026, during the playoffs · 7:40. The workflow carries straight into the regular season.
In this 7-minute video, David shows how he bets NHL player props with PropsBot, focusing on the two markets he bets most: points and goalie saves. He starts from the confidence score and confidence gap, leans to unders, and uses a saved filter that puts skaters facing a weak goalie at the top of the board.
Watching on YouTube? Like the video and subscribe for the rest of David’s PropsBot tutorial series.
In the videoKey moments
- 0:00Why the NHL video is a short one
- 1:04Points: confidence score and confidence gap
- 2:17Goalie saves: overs vs unders
- 3:36Why unders are where he looks for value
- 3:53Saved filter: points against a weak goalie
- 5:01How the filter is sorted
- 5:43Honorable mentions: assists, blocked shots, shots on goal
- 6:17The bottom line: confidence score plus confidence gap
The methodHow David bets NHL props in PropsBot
- Start with points and the confidence score. The board opens on the highest confidence scores. Quinn Hughes’ points over led at 67.9% with a confidence gap of −0.6 — essentially a fair price — and David was happy to play it at that confidence. He paired it with Cale Makar’s points over for a two-leg ticket around +110.
- Look for value, not just a good play. “If you’re not getting any ROI or any value,” he says, long-term profit is hard. The confidence gap is how he checks: the model’s probability against the best price’s implied probability.
- Check goalie saves both ways. On the night he recorded, even the best saves over was below 50%, so he flipped to unders. One under leaned 51% and carried a Line is Nuts flag, a lean-under verdict and a strong recent hit rate, with FanDuel — one of the sharpest books, in his view — already at 23.5 against a 24.5 line.
- Default to unders. His rule of thumb: unders carry more value, and over time he thinks under bettors do better.
- Use a weak-goalie filter for points. His saved filter sorts by the opposing goalie’s save percentage (lowest first), then last-5 hit rate, then confidence score, so every skater facing the weakest goalie rises to the top. In the video, Mats Zuccarello scored 61% with the better confidence gap, and Quinn Hughes scored six points higher. The same filter works for goals scored, which he treats as a lottery-style parlay piece for a small fractional unit.
- Treat other markets as extras. Assists, blocked shots and shots on goal get honorable mentions; he had no saved filters for them yet, but the player cards already show the stats he would sort by.
His bottom line: the app “was built for you to use the confidence score and the confidence gap,” then find the best price on your book and move on. The extra stats are there if you like building your own filters.
David recorded this during the 2026 playoffs and says the weak-goalie filter had not yet been tested on many samples. Model results by sport, dated, are on the PropsBot performance ledger. For tonight’s board, see NHL picks today and NHL shots on goal props.
FAQBetting NHL player props
How do you bet NHL player props?
Pick a market you know, start with the highest confidence scores and check the confidence gap so you are not overpaying. In the video, David focuses on points and goalie saves, leans to unders and uses a saved weak-goalie filter for points.
Which NHL prop markets does David bet most?
Points and goalie saves totals. Assists, blocked shots and shots on goal get honorable mentions, and goals scored is a lottery-style parlay piece he plays for a small stake.
Why does David lean toward unders?
He believes most bettors take overs, so books price overs more heavily and unders tend to carry more value. He still checks the confidence gap on every prop before betting it.
More walkthroughs from David are on the PropsBot tutorials page, and new ones land on his YouTube channel first. PropsBot plans are on the pricing page.
PropsBot is a research tool, not a guarantee of results. 21+ only; bet with money you can afford to lose. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
