Also on the MLB slate today, an MLB pick today, Sunday, May 17, 2026, is Hunter Goodman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (ARI @ COL, 3:11 PM ET). PropsBot’s AI rates the pick at 52.6% Confidence with a 2.6% Edge Score, meaning the modeled probability sits 5.2 points above the implied probability priced into the market. Best available price: BetMGM -140.
Below is the full breakdown — Confidence Score, Edge Score, sportsbook odds comparison, and historical hit rate data — so you can make a data-backed decision before the 3:11 PM ET first pitch.
| Window | Hit Rate | Sportsbook | Line | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L5 / L10 / L20 | 60% / 40% / 45% | BetMGM | 1.5 H+R+RBI | -140 |
| Season | 51% | BetMGM | 1.5 H+R+RBI | -140 |
| H2H vs ARI | 42% | BetMGM | 1.5 H+R+RBI | -140 |
Is Hunter Goodman a good Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs bet vs Michael Soroka on May 17?

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Why Hunter Goodman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs vs Michael Soroka?
Goodman hits cleanup for COL at Coors Field, where 5+ run innings are routine. SLG .513 and Hard Hit% 50.0% — he’s the best contact-quality bat in the COL lineup right now. Soroka’s a flyball-heavy righty and Coors turns warning-track flys into doubles. Goodman’s been cresting on hits but he’s been driving in or scoring on most contact.
Historical Performance at 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
L5 60% Over, L10 40%, L20 45%, H2H 42%, SZN 51%. Choppier history than the picks above. L5 60% recent uptick is what the model is leaning on plus Coors environment plus a flyball pitcher matchup.
Matchup Context: ARI @ COL
ARI @ COL, 3:11 PM ET. 10.5 game total, COL implied 4.4 runs. Soroka’s coming off two short starts and his WHIP has crept to 1.29 — Coors is where he’s bled the most damage. Goodman behind Toglia and Doyle in the lineup has RBI opportunities every PA. The risk: if Soroka can keep him in the yard, a 0-for-4 with no runs is on the table.
Best Line Available
Best price at tB (-140), implied 58%. Confidence 52.6%, Edge 2.6%, Confidence Gap -5.7%. This is the lowest-confidence pick on today’s slate but the Edge Score still reads positive — a single-percentage modeled edge on a high-action prop.
How PropsBot Grades MLB H+R+RBI Picks
Goodman’s Over 1.5 H+R+RBI grades from MLB.com box score. Hits + Runs + RBIs summed; 2 or more = Hit. Result posted here within 12 hours of game-final. Per-pick history is published at Performance Methodology.
How PropsBot Models MLB Hits + Runs + RBIs Props
Multiple AI models trained on pitcher-batter matchup data, ballpark factors, weather conditions, platoon splits, and real-time lineup confirmations score the prop, then their consensus is summarized into a single Confidence Score and an Edge Score — full methodology at /performance-methodology/.
More MLB Player Props — May 17, 2026
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Glossary — key terms in this pick
Compare to other AI prop tools
Sources & Verification
- Career stats: Hunter Goodman on MLB.com
- Advanced metrics: Statcast leaderboard
- Game info: ARI at COL on May 17, 2026
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PropsBot is a research and analytics tool — not a picks service. Picks reflect AI model output as of May 17, 2026 and may be updated; see our Corrections Policy for how we handle changes after publication. Odds are subject to change.
Today’s Other AI Picks — May 17, 2026
- Jorge Barrosa Under 0.5 Runs Scored (MLB)
- Brendan Donovan Under 0.5 Runs Scored (MLB)
- Paul Skenes Over 6.5 Strikeouts (MLB)
- Grant Holmes Over 1.5 Walks (MLB)
- José Ramírez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (MLB)
See every PropsBot MLB daily pick (newest first): /category/mlb-picks/