Javonte Williams Anytime TD Prop: Cowboys vs. Eagles Monday Night Football Pick (Oct. 26, 2026)

Javonte Williams to score a touchdown on Monday Night Football is the play, and the reason is simple: he keeps scoring. He has found the end zone in 8 of his last 10 games. The price is the problem. BetMGM has him at -145 for Dallas at Philadelphia, the best number among the major sportsbooks this morning. That’s already better than the -155 it hung earlier, and it’s still a lot to lay on a touchdown.

The scoring log behind the take

Here is every game in the sample, newest first. These come straight from his ESPN game log.

• Oct. 19 at Green Bay: 1 TD
• Oct. 9 vs. Tampa Bay: 1 TD
• Oct. 4 at Houston: 3 TDs
• Sept. 27 vs. Baltimore: 1 TD
• Sept. 20 vs. Washington: 0
• Sept. 14 at N.Y. Giants: 2 TDs
• 2025 Week 17 at Washington: 1 TD
• 2025 Week 16 vs. L.A. Chargers: 0
• 2025 Week 15 vs. Minnesota: 1 TD
• 2025 Week 14 at Detroit: 1 TD

That’s 4 of his last 5 and 8 of his last 10. Six games into this season he has eight touchdowns, which is where the 1.33 TDs per game on his card comes from.

The usage explains it. He is getting 37.5% of the Cowboys’ red-zone opportunities and 44.1% of the goal-line work, on about 17 touches a game. When Dallas gets close, the ball goes to him more often than not.

What -145 is asking you to believe

This is where we have to be straight with you. A -145 price implies a 59.2% chance he scores. PropsBot has him at a Confidence Score of 55.5. So the model leans over, and the board prints an Edge Score of +6.4, but its probability still sits below what this price implies. You are not getting a discount here.

So why play it? Because the case doesn’t rest on the price. It rests on a back who has scored in 80% of his recent games and owns the short-yardage role in an offense the market expects to score. Dallas is a 4.5-point favorite on the road with a team total of 24.25, in a game the board totals at 44. That’s an offense expected to get its chances near the goal line.

The risk is the obvious one. Anytime TD is binary, and Philadelphia has allowed 22.8 points a game, which isn’t a soft number. One stalled drive at the goal line, or a red-zone throw instead of a handoff, and the ticket’s dead.

Shop it before kickoff

The spread between books matters more than usual at this price. DraftKings is at -175, FanDuel -170, Caesars -162 and BetOnline is -200. The exchanges are a touch shorter, with Novig at -141 and Polymarket at -144, if you have access. At -145 you need him to score 59.2% of the time to break even. At -200 it’s 66.7%. If BetMGM drifts back toward the pack, the bet gets worse quickly, so size it small.

Cowboys vs. Eagles: quick facts

Kickoff: 8:15 PM ET, Monday, Oct. 26, at Lincoln Financial Field, on ESPN and ABC.

Best sportsbook price: Javonte Williams anytime TD at -145 on BetMGM as of the 7:52 AM ET board. The graphic above was built at -155.

Recent scoring: 4 of his last 5 games, 8 of his last 10.

Prices move before kickoff. The current number is on the PropsBot board, and every graded pick goes on the public ledger at dashboard.propsbot.ai.

Keep the anytime TD picks hub bookmarked; it always carries the newest card at the top. More on this sport: NFL picks today.