Another high-edge MLB pick today, Tuesday, May 26, 2026, is Joey Cantillo Over 1.5 Walks (WAS @ CLE, 6:11 PM ET). PropsBot’s AI rates the pick at 60.3% Confidence with a 0.0% Edge Score, meaning his 11.6% BB% paired with a Washington lineup that walks at 9.1% supports the Over even without raw Edge Score. Best available price: Hard Rock Bet -190.

Below is the full breakdown — Confidence Score, Edge Score, sportsbook odds comparison, and historical hit rate data — so you can make a data-backed decision before the 6:11 PM ET first pitch.

WindowOver Hit RateSportsbookLineOdds
L5 / L10 / L2080% / 80% / 80%Hard Rock Bet1.5 Walks-190
Season81%Hard Rock Bet1.5 Walks-190
H2H vs CLE0%Hard Rock Bet1.5 Walks-190

Is Joey Cantillo a good Over 1.5 Walks bet vs the Nationals on May 26?

PropsBot AI player detail screen showing Joey Cantillo Over 1.5 Walks pick with 60.3% Confidence Score, 0.0% Edge Score, and sportsbook odds for WAS at CLE on May 26, 2026

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Why Joey Cantillo Over 1.5 Walks vs the Nationals?

PropsBot’s AI models assigned a 60.3% Confidence Score to Joey Cantillo over 1.5 Walks tonight. That threshold qualifies as Moderate Confidence in PropsBot’s framework. The pick carries a 0.0% Edge Score, with a -5.2% Confidence Gap between modeled and implied probability.

Cantillo has issued 2+ walks in 80% of his appearances this season. BB% 11.6, F-Strike% 54.1, K/BB ratio 1.89 — he attacks but loses the zone. The Player Ability pass was 4/6. Edge Score reads 0.0% because the books have priced this in; the Conf Gap (-5.2%) is the soft spot, but 80% over four hit-rate windows is the number that anchors the call.

Historical Performance at 1.5 Walks

Cantillo walked 2 or more in 4 of 5 (L5 80%), 8 of 10 (L10), 16 of 20 (L20), and 81% on the season. The only red H2H window (0% vs Washington) is a single appearance — too small to reweight against the season-long signal.

Matchup Context: WAS @ CLE

Washington’s 9.1% team BB% is right at league average and their Contact% sits at 75.2 — they don’t expand. Cantillo’s 31.1% Chase% says he won’t get help. The walk floor is real.

Best Line Available

Hard Rock Bet at -190 is the listed price. Steep, but consistent with the 81% season hit rate. No alternates shown.

How PropsBot Grades MLB Walks Picks

Every PropsBot pick is graded the morning after the game by an automated result-tracker that pulls box-score data from MLB.com / NHL.com / NBA.com / NFL.com and marks the pick Hit, Miss, Push, or Voided (for player non-appearance). The graded outcome is appended to the post via a green/red callout block, and the per-pick history is published at Performance Methodology. Every entry includes the date, line, book, and graded outcome — nothing is retroactively edited.

How PropsBot Models MLB Walks Props

Multiple AI models score the prop, then their consensus is summarized into a single Confidence Score and an Edge Score — full methodology at /performance-methodology/.

More MLB Player Props — May 26, 2026

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