Another high-edge MLB pick today, Tuesday, May 26, 2026, is Joey Cantillo Over 1.5 Walks (WAS @ CLE, 6:11 PM ET). PropsBot’s AI rates the pick at 60.3% Confidence with a 0.0% Edge Score, meaning his 11.6% BB% paired with a Washington lineup that walks at 9.1% supports the Over even without raw Edge Score. Best available price: Hard Rock Bet -190.
Below is the full breakdown — Confidence Score, Edge Score, sportsbook odds comparison, and historical hit rate data — so you can make a data-backed decision before the 6:11 PM ET first pitch.
| Window | Over Hit Rate | Sportsbook | Line | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L5 / L10 / L20 | 80% / 80% / 80% | Hard Rock Bet | 1.5 Walks | -190 |
| Season | 81% | Hard Rock Bet | 1.5 Walks | -190 |
| H2H vs CLE | 0% | Hard Rock Bet | 1.5 Walks | -190 |
Is Joey Cantillo a good Over 1.5 Walks bet vs the Nationals on May 26?

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Why Joey Cantillo Over 1.5 Walks vs the Nationals?
PropsBot’s AI models assigned a 60.3% Confidence Score to Joey Cantillo over 1.5 Walks tonight. That threshold qualifies as Moderate Confidence in PropsBot’s framework. The pick carries a 0.0% Edge Score, with a -5.2% Confidence Gap between modeled and implied probability.
Cantillo has issued 2+ walks in 80% of his appearances this season. BB% 11.6, F-Strike% 54.1, K/BB ratio 1.89 — he attacks but loses the zone. The Player Ability pass was 4/6. Edge Score reads 0.0% because the books have priced this in; the Conf Gap (-5.2%) is the soft spot, but 80% over four hit-rate windows is the number that anchors the call.
Historical Performance at 1.5 Walks
Cantillo walked 2 or more in 4 of 5 (L5 80%), 8 of 10 (L10), 16 of 20 (L20), and 81% on the season. The only red H2H window (0% vs Washington) is a single appearance — too small to reweight against the season-long signal.
Matchup Context: WAS @ CLE
Washington’s 9.1% team BB% is right at league average and their Contact% sits at 75.2 — they don’t expand. Cantillo’s 31.1% Chase% says he won’t get help. The walk floor is real.
Best Line Available
Hard Rock Bet at -190 is the listed price. Steep, but consistent with the 81% season hit rate. No alternates shown.
How PropsBot Grades MLB Walks Picks
Every PropsBot pick is graded the morning after the game by an automated result-tracker that pulls box-score data from MLB.com / NHL.com / NBA.com / NFL.com and marks the pick Hit, Miss, Push, or Voided (for player non-appearance). The graded outcome is appended to the post via a green/red callout block, and the per-pick history is published at Performance Methodology. Every entry includes the date, line, book, and graded outcome — nothing is retroactively edited.
How PropsBot Models MLB Walks Props
Multiple AI models score the prop, then their consensus is summarized into a single Confidence Score and an Edge Score — full methodology at /performance-methodology/.
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Glossary — key terms in this pick
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Sources & Verification
- Career stats: Joey Cantillo on MLB.com
- Advanced metrics: Statcast page for Joey Cantillo
- Game info: WAS at CLE on May 26, 2026
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PropsBot is a research and analytics tool — not a picks service. Picks reflect AI model output as of May 26, 2026 and may be updated; see our Corrections Policy for how we handle changes after publication. Odds are subject to change.
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