MLB Hits + Runs + RBIs Alternate Lines Board — MLB Picks Today, August 6

PropsBot’s Alternate Lines board grades every over-only rung on the Hits + Runs + RBIs ladder and sorts the whole slate by edge. For August 6, 2026 it is tracking 223 hitters. Below are the standout ladders on today’s card, each led by its best-value line (the starred rung), with the projected hit rate, the historical sample, and the edge PropsBot’s model assigns. Every number here is straight off the board — nothing is a lock, and the deeper rungs carry more risk for more edge.

C.J. Abrams — WAS @ PHI, 6:06 PM ET

C.J. Abrams leads the Hits + Runs + RBIs ladder read for Nationals-Phillies. The sharpest rung is 3+ Hits + Runs + RBIs, projected at 42.9% with a +19.9 edge (historical 48/112). The whole ladder runs positive, which is the cleanest shape on this board — every rung from 1+ through 6+ is priced below where the model reads it.

Line	Projected	Historical	Edge
1+	75.9%	85/112	+11.9
2+	58.9%	66/112	+17.2
3+ ★ best value	42.9%	48/112	+19.9
4+	27.7%	31/112	+14.7
5+	19.6%	22/112	+12.6
6+	11.6%	13/112	+6.3

Seiya Suzuki — CHC vs TOR, 2:21 PM ET

Seiya Suzuki leads the Hits + Runs + RBIs ladder read for Cubs-Blue Jays. The sharpest rung is 2+ Hits + Runs + RBIs, projected at 60.2% with a +16.1 edge (historical 59/98). Positive edge holds from 1+ through 5+ and only turns over at the 6+ rung, where the model reads it at -0.6.

Line	Projected	Historical	Edge
1+	74.5%	73/98	+7.8
2+ ★ best value	60.2%	59/98	+16.1
3+	42.9%	42/98	+13.9
4+	25.5%	25/98	+7.7
5+	19.4%	19/98	+9.0
6+	7.1%	7/98	-0.6

Drake Baldwin — ATL vs MIA, 7:16 PM ET

Drake Baldwin leads the Hits + Runs + RBIs ladder read for Braves-Marlins. The sharpest rung is 7+ Hits + Runs + RBIs, projected at 6.6% with a -1.1 edge (historical 6/91). Worth reading as a caution rather than a play. Every readable rung on Baldwin’s ladder carries a negative edge, so the starred 7+ is only the least negative of them — the model does not price value anywhere on this line. The 1+ and 2+ rungs were scrolled off-screen on the captured board and are deliberately left out rather than guessed.

Line	Projected	Historical	Edge
3+	44%	40/91	-1.5
4+	23.1%	21/91	-7.2
5+	12.1%	11/91	-7.5
6+	7.7%	7/91	-4.8
7+ ★ best value	6.6%	6/91	-1.1
8+	5.5%	5/91	—

Elly De La Cruz — CIN vs ATH, 12:40 PM ET

Elly De La Cruz shows up on the Hits + Runs + RBIs board for Reds-Athletics with its sharpest rung at 1+ Hits + Runs + RBIs, carrying a +0.7 edge — the largest on this player’s ladder. The ladder below the header was cut off on the captured board, so only the starred best rung and its edge are reported here. The individual rung percentages are not published rather than estimated.

See the full MLB Hits + Runs + RBIs board

These are four of 223 hitters on today’s over-only ladder. PropsBot scores every rung for every player and re-sorts by edge as lines move. The full board is free at app.propsbot.ai.

Today’s 3+ Hits + Runs + RBIs leaderboard

PropsBot also ranks the slate for the 3+ rung on its own. The board’s top three rows today are D. Baldwin (Atlanta, facing right-hander J. Junk), Y. Díaz and J. Aranda (both Tampa Bay, opposing starter still to be announced). Wind is a non-factor across all three: 3 mph at Baldwin’s game and calm at both Tampa Bay spots. Baldwin’s ladder above puts him at 44% for 3+ across a 40-of-91 sample, and 3+ is also the rung where the model still prices him negative — so read his placement here as slate context, not as a value call.