PropsBot’s home run pitcher board for August 12, 2026 surfaces the starters most worth targeting for home runs today: Ryan Feltner, Zebby Matthews, Merrill Kelly, Rhett Lowder and Zack Wheeler. These are the arms to back hitters against — the pitcher is the target, not the pick.
Ryan Feltner sits at No. 1 at 1.98 HR/9 allowed.
Be clear about what this board is before the numbers. It is a research screen, not a set of picks — it names the pitcher to attack, not the hitter to back, and it carries no prices. Its job is to point home-run research at the right matchups; you still have to pick the bat and find the number yourself.
1. Ryan Feltner — 1.98 HR/9 (COL vs. ARI)
Ryan Feltner (RHP, 82 innings) draws ARI in COL vs. ARI, and the board ranks him No. 1 on the slate for home-run vulnerability at 1.98 HR/9 allowed. Against right-handed bats specifically he has given up 5.7% HR per batter faced — 10 home runs in 176 batters faced. Wind at first pitch is 8 mph. Signals fired: High HR/9 · Barrel contact.
2. Zebby Matthews — 1.78 HR/9 (MIN vs. BAL)
Zebby Matthews (RHP, 86 innings) draws BAL in MIN vs. BAL, and the board ranks him No. 2 on the slate for home-run vulnerability at 1.78 HR/9 allowed. Against right-handed bats specifically he has given up 5.5% HR per batter faced — 9 home runs in 163 batters faced. Wind at first pitch is 6 mph. Signals fired: High HR/9 · Barrel contact.
3. Merrill Kelly — 1.73 HR/9 (ARI vs. COL)
Merrill Kelly (RHP, 120 innings) draws COL in ARI vs. COL, and the board ranks him No. 3 on the slate for home-run vulnerability at 1.73 HR/9 allowed. Against left-handed bats specifically he has given up 4.8% HR per batter faced — 15 home runs in 312 batters faced. Wind at first pitch is 8 mph. Signals fired: High HR/9 · Barrel contact.
4. Rhett Lowder — 1.11 HR/9 (CIN vs. CWS)
Rhett Lowder (RHP, 89 innings) draws CWS in CIN vs. CWS, and the board ranks him No. 4 on the slate for home-run vulnerability at 1.11 HR/9 allowed. Against left-handed bats specifically he has given up 4.0% HR per batter faced — 10 home runs in 251 batters faced. Wind at first pitch is 5 mph. Signals fired: Barrel contact · Run prevention.
5. Zack Wheeler — 1.14 HR/9 (PHI vs. STL)
Zack Wheeler (RHP, 110.1 innings) draws STL in PHI vs. STL, and the board ranks him No. 5 on the slate for home-run vulnerability at 1.14 HR/9 allowed. Against left-handed bats specifically he has given up 3.5% HR per batter faced — 9 home runs in 261 batters faced. Wind at first pitch is 9 mph. Signals fired: Limited pitcher data.
See the Full MLB Home Run Board
PropsBot scores every starter on the slate for home-run vulnerability and every hitter for home-run probability, then re-sorts both as lines, lineups and weather move. The full board is free at app.propsbot.ai, and the performance methodology covers how picks are tracked and graded.
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