PropsBot’s Alternate Lines board grades every over-only rung on the Pitcher Strikeouts ladder and sorts the whole slate by edge. For July 19, 2026 it is tracking 30 pitchers. Below are the standout ladders on today’s card, each led by its best-value line (the starred rung), with the projected hit rate, the historical sample, and the edge PropsBot’s model assigns. Every number here is straight off the board — nothing is a lock, and the deeper rungs carry more risk for more edge.
Alan Rangel — PHI vs NYM, 1:36 PM ET
Alan Rangel leads the Strikeouts ladder read for Phillies-Mets. The sharpest rung is 4+ Strikeouts, projected at 100% with a +41.8 edge (historical 5/5). The ladder is perfect through the 4+ rung on a five-start sample, then falls off a cliff: 5+ drops to 40% and 6+ has not hit once. That shape is the whole read here, and the five-start sample is small enough to treat with care.
| Line | Projected | Historical | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ | 100% | 5/5 | +9.1 |
| 3+ | 100% | 5/5 | +24.1 |
| 4+ ★ best value | 100% | 5/5 | +41.8 |
| 5+ | 40% | 2/5 | +0.9 |
| 6+ | 0% | 0/5 | -22.7 |
Nathan Eovaldi — TEX @ ATL, 1:36 PM ET
Nathan Eovaldi leads the Strikeouts ladder read for Rangers-Braves. The sharpest rung is 6+ Strikeouts, projected at 77.8% with a +22.2 edge (historical 14/18). The deepest usable sample on the board at 18 starts, and the curve degrades smoothly rather than falling off, which is what you want to see before climbing a ladder. Note the 4+ rung carries a negative edge despite the same 83.3% hit rate as 5+, so the value sits higher up.
| Line | Projected | Historical | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3+ | 100% | 18/18 | +6.0 |
| 4+ | 83.3% | 15/18 | -2.7 |
| 5+ | 83.3% | 15/18 | +10.0 |
| 6+ ★ best value | 77.8% | 14/18 | +22.2 |
| 7+ | 61.1% | 11/18 | +22.0 |
| 8+ | 33.3% | 6/18 | +10.3 |
Eduardo Rodriguez — ARI vs STL, 4:11 PM ET
Eduardo Rodriguez leads the Strikeouts ladder read for Diamondbacks-Cardinals. The sharpest rung is 3+ Strikeouts, projected at 94.7% with a +15.8 edge (historical 18/19). A 19-start sample with 18 clears at the 3+ rung. The projected rate is identical at 2+ and 3+, so the 3+ line is strictly the better price for the same historical outcome. Past 4+ the curve drops quickly.
| Line | Projected | Historical | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ | 94.7% | 18/19 | +1.7 |
| 3+ ★ best value | 94.7% | 18/19 | +15.8 |
| 4+ | 63.2% | 12/19 | +8.2 |
| 5+ | 42.1% | 8/19 | +4.4 |
| 6+ | 15.8% | 3/19 | -5.3 |
See the full MLB Pitcher Strikeouts board
These are three of 30 pitchers on today’s over-only ladder. PropsBot scores every rung for every player and re-sorts by edge as lines move. The full board is free at app.propsbot.ai.
Responsible gambling. Alternate-line ladders are higher-variance by design — the longer rungs hit less often. For information and entertainment only; bet within your means, 21+ where required. Problem gambling? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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