Patrick Yazbek Over 0.5 Shots — MLS Player Props, Saturday July 25

On the July 24 MLS board, one Saturday prop is worth getting in front of early: Patrick Yazbek Over 0.5 Shots for Nashville SC at Orlando City. Be straight about what PropsBot does and does not say here — the model read is still pending: no Confidence Score, no Edge Score, no gap has populated yet. What follows is a read of his own shot volume and the market number, nothing more.

Why Patrick Yazbek Over 0.5 Shots?

The case is pure volume on a low line. Yazbek has cleared 0.5 shots in four of his last six, hitting the Over 60% across his last five, 67% over his last ten and twenty, and 67% on the season, averaging 0.83 shots a game against a 0.5 number — he only needs to get one attempt off. His recent log runs 1, 0, 2, 1, 1, 0, so the misses are real, but a midfielder getting forward for Nashville should find at least one look. Head-to-head against Orlando he is a perfect 100% on this line, small sample as that is.

The Market Number

The best posted price is 1xBet -163, which implies about 62%; Bet365 has it at -189. Only the Over is posted — the Under isn’t up. His season over rate of 67% sits above the 62% implied, which is the whole argument: a modest gap between his history and the price. But this is heavy juice on a half-shot line, so treat it as a form-versus-price lean, not a graded PropsBot edge. If the Confidence and Edge Scores populate before kickoff, they replace this reasoning; until then, this is his shot history against the number.

More MLS Player Props — July 25

PropsBot scores the rest of the Saturday MLS shots board too. See the full slate and the model reads as they populate at app.propsbot.ai.