Jared Goff 2026 stats and next game
Updated October 12, 2026. 2026 regular season, games through Sunday, October 11. Source: nflverse play-by-play data, checked against final scores.
Jared Goff has completed 128 of 191 passes (67.0%) for 1,485 yards, 12 touchdowns and 0 interceptions in 5 games (297.0 passing yards per game), with 16 rushing yards and 1 rushing touchdown.
| Week | Opponent | Cmp/Att | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush yds | Rush TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs NO | 26/39 | 206 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 2 | at BUF | 26/38 | 327 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| 3 | vs NYJ | 25/32 | 269 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| 4 | at CAR | 32/52 | 412 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | at ARI | 19/30 | 271 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Total | 128/191 | 1485 | 12 | 0 | 16 | 1 | |
Next game: Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions, Week 7, Sunday, October 25 at 4:25 PM ET.
Prop lines move all week. The live PropsBot NFL board shows Jared Goff’s current lines, the best available price and the model’s confidence on every posted market.
21+. Model output is research, not a guarantee. Verify the current price and bet responsibly.
Quick Answer
Jared Goff player props should be judged by the current line, price, environment, and market fit, not by the highlight tape. Start with passing yards, passing touchdowns, and completions, compare the number across books, then use PropsBot’s model edge and tracking context to decide whether the prop is still playable today.
Quick answer: Jared Goff is the quarterback the market still misprices on environment, and his weekly board includes passing yards over 250.5 to 278.5 (typically -110 both sides), passing TDs over 1.5 (-140 to -160), completions over 22.5 to 25.5 (-110), and interceptions over 0.5 (+110 to -120). The unique angle on Goff is the dome split. His indoor numbers and his outdoor-weather numbers are two different quarterbacks, and books post one line for both. Detroit plays indoors, which means his home lines are anchored to the good version, and his bad-weather road spots are where the unders live.
What Drives Goff’s Passing Yards Line
Three factors. First: play-action rate. Detroit’s offense is built on the run fake, and Goff’s yards per attempt off play-action is among the best in football. When the run game is working, his passing overs cash on efficiency, not volume. Second: pressure. His splits under pressure versus clean pockets are one of the widest gaps in the league. Defenses that can get home with four turn him into a checkdown quarterback; defenses that can’t get carved up. Third: environment. Indoors he’s a 280-yard quarterback. Outdoors in wind and cold, the deep ball dies and the line should drop thirty yards. It usually drops ten.
Passing TDs, Completions, and the Interception Market
Passing TDs over 1.5 at -140 to -160 is the workhorse Goff prop, and it cashes at home at a high clip because Detroit’s red-zone offense is efficient and the play-action game produces tight-window scores. The value angle is the alt over 2.5 at plus money against zone defenses, where his red-zone TD rate spikes. Completions over 22.5 to 25.5 is the steady market: against two-high shells he takes the underneath all afternoon, and the completions over and the yards under can cash in the same game. Interceptions over 0.5 is the public trap. The memory of his early Detroit picks lingers in the pricing, and his actual INT rate in the current offense is among the lowest for a high-volume passer.
Where the Sharp Edge Lives in Goff Props
Three angles. First: passing unders in outdoor road games with wind. His bad-weather splits are real, the market discounts them, and a 265.5 line in a 15-mile-per-hour crosswind is a fade. Second: completions overs against two-high defenses at home. The scheme takes away the deep shot, he feasts underneath, and the line prices his season average instead of the coverage-specific rate. Third: TD overs in high-total home games. Detroit indoors with a game total over 50 is the environment his passing profile is built for, and the 1.5 line at standard juice is value when the shootout materializes. PropsBot.AI’s NFL calibrated model flags Goff props often because environment-driven quarterbacks create the cleanest pricing gaps on the board.
The Dome Split: Two Quarterbacks, One Line
Goff’s career tells a clean story: indoors, in controlled conditions, he’s one of the most efficient passers in football. Outdoors in bad weather, the completion rate dips, the deep accuracy fades, and the turnovers creep up. Sportsbooks know this and adjust a little. They don’t adjust enough, because moving his line twenty yards for weather would invite arbitrage against his season-long reputation. That’s the bettor’s opening. His home overs against soft pass defenses are priced off a blended average that includes the bad road games, so the true home rate beats the line. His cold-weather road unders are the mirror image. Check the roof and the forecast before you check the trend. For Goff, the venue is the handicap.
Run Game Symbiosis and the Play-Action Engine
Detroit’s rushing attack is the setup man for everything Goff does, and it changes how you should read his props. When the run game is rolling, linebackers step up, safeties creep, and his play-action shots open. His best passing games often come on modest attempt totals, which is why his yards overs can cash on 28 attempts while a volume quarterback needs 40. The betting implication cuts both ways. Against elite run defenses that force Detroit into obvious passing downs, his efficiency drops and his sack and pressure rates climb. The line posts his yards number off the good version. When the matchup kills the run game, the passing over is a worse bet than it looks, and the interception over at plus money gets interesting for the first time all week.
Offensive Line Health and the Clean-Pocket Premium
Goff’s entire profile depends on the pocket staying clean, which makes Detroit’s line report the most important injury news on his page. With the full unit, his pressure rate sits among the lowest in football and his efficiency numbers are elite. With a backup tackle or a missing interior piece, pressure climbs, his depth of target shrinks, and the whole offense compresses into the quick game. Books move his line a half yard for a receiver injury and barely move it for a lineman, which is backwards for this specific quarterback. The check takes two minutes: look at who’s active on the line before you bet any Goff over. A clean-pocket Goff is worth the premium. A pressured Goff is an under bet waiting for the market to notice.
Common Mistakes on Goff Props
First: betting his passing overs in outdoor weather spots because the season average says so. The blend hides the split, and the split is the bet. Second: betting interceptions over off reputation. His current INT rate doesn’t support the price the market hangs, and the public is betting a quarterback who doesn’t exist anymore. Third: ignoring completions. His completions overs against zone-heavy teams are among the most reliable markets on his page, and they price softer than the headline yards number everyone watches.
Frequently Asked Questions
What’s a typical Jared Goff passing yards prop line?
250.5 to 278.5 depending on opponent, venue, and weather. Indoor home games push him to the high end; outdoor road games in wind or cold should drag him down more than the market usually moves.
Are Goff passing TD props worth betting?
Selectively. Over 1.5 at -140 to -160 is priced right at home in high-total games. The alt over 2.5 at plus money is the value spot against zone defenses, where his red-zone play-action game produces scores in bunches.
What’s a typical Goff completions line?
22.5 to 25.5 depending on expected volume and coverage tendency. Two-high defenses push his completion rate up even as his yards dip, which makes completions overs the right expression in those matchups.
Does PropsBot project Goff props daily?
Yes. The calibrated model accounts for venue, weather, coverage shell, pressure rate and run-game context when projecting each prop. The High ROI Signal flags bets when model probability exceeds implied by 8+ percentage points.
Why are Goff’s road unders so reliable in bad weather?
Because his efficiency depends on timing and deep accuracy, and wind and cold attack exactly those two things. His career splits outdoors in rough conditions are well below his indoor baseline, and the line rarely shows the full gap.
Updated 2026-10-12. For live picks on Jared Goff, visit the PropsBot.AI board. Browse the full player prop hub or our sports betting glossary.
How To Read Jared Goff Props
A good Jared Goff prop decision starts with the market, not the highlight clip. The first job is to identify exactly what the sportsbook is asking you to bet: passing yards, touchdowns, completions or interceptions. Those markets can point to the same player and still require different evidence, and a great completions spot can be a terrible yards-over spot on the same Sunday.
The point is not to manufacture action. The point is to know when the current number still deserves attention and when the market already moved. If PropsBot shows a lean, the next question is whether the available book price still leaves enough expected value after the market has adjusted.
Market Notes
Passing yards: Venue, weather, and pass-rush matchup are the checks that matter. Indoor games against defenses that can’t pressure are the over profile; windy road spots against four-man rushes are the under profile.
Passing TDs: Red-zone play-action usage and game total drive the projection more than season TD totals do. High-total home games feed the over; grind-it-out scripts flatten it.
What Moves The Number
For Jared Goff, line movement should be read alongside news, not in isolation. A weather forecast shift, a receiver injury, or a book correcting a stale opener all move his price, and the difference matters because following a worse number turns a good read into a bad bet.
Check role first: venue, forecast, weapon availability, coverage tendency, and pressure matchup. Then check price. Two books can post the same Goff prop with very different juice, and that difference is often the entire edge. PropsBot’s odds-shopping workflow is built for that exact moment: find the best number, compare it to the model, and avoid taking a stale or overpriced side just because the prop looks familiar.
When To Pass
The best answer is not always over or under. Pass when the line moved through the model edge, when the forecast is still uncertain, when the public has already steamed the home over past the model number, or when the book with the best price is no longer available to you. That kind of discipline matters more on player props than on almost any other betting market because small prices compound over a season.
Use this page as a research stop, then connect it to the broader PropsBot workflow: today’s slate, available books, model confidence, tracked results, and bankroll rules. The goal is not to bet every Jared Goff market. The goal is to recognize the few spots where the line, projection, and price are all pointing in the same direction.
