Week 2 — Las Vegas Raiders at Los Angeles Chargers, Sunday, September 20, 2026, 4:05 p.m. ET. Lines are Week 2 openers from the Monday, September 14 capture; only eight markets had posted for this game at that point. Re-check the NFL board for the full slate.
Ashton Jeanty accounted for 147 scrimmage yards and both of the Raiders’ receiving touchdowns in a 27–13 win over Miami — 23 carries for 102, six catches on six targets for 45 and two scores — on a day Kirk Cousins threw for 160 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions. The Chargers lost 26–14 at home to Arizona: Justin Herbert completed 17 of 27 for 209 with a touchdown and an interception, Omarion Hampton ran 12 times for 43 and a score, and Ladd McConkey (5 of 7, 82, touchdown) was the only Charger with more than 58 receiving yards.
What Week 1 told us
Las Vegas ran its offense through one player. Jeanty’s combined-yardage over on 82.5 cleared by 64, and the passing game behind him was short — Michael Mayer 6 of 7 for 32, Tre Tucker under his 45.5 receiving line at 27, Jalen Nailor under 37.5 at 27. Mike Washington Jr. had seven carries for 41 as the second back.
Los Angeles could not sustain drives. Herbert’s passing under on 233.5 held at 209; Hampton’s rushing under on 71.5 held at 43, and he did not catch a pass (the model’s under on 2.5 receptions was on it). David Njoku caught all five targets for 58; Quentin Johnston’s 17 receiving yards came in under the model’s 42.5.
Players to target
A line only carries a model lean when one side’s confidence reached 60 at capture, and nothing in this game cleared that bar on Monday. What follows is the opener and the Week 1 evidence — no side is attributed to the model.
- Ashton Jeanty — anytime touchdown, opened -130 at DraftKings. The model is close to a coin flip here (51 on the yes side). Two touchdowns and 29 touches in Week 1; he is the entire Las Vegas offense, and the price already says so.
- Justin Herbert — passing yards, opened 234.5. He threw for 209 against Arizona and the under on 233.5 held; McConkey was the only receiver who produced, and the opener has moved up one yard. No model score on this single-book opener.
- Ashton Jeanty — rushing yards, opened 63.5. Thirty-nine yards under his Week 1 rushing total on 23 carries; the market clearly expects regression. His combined rushing-plus-receiving line, once it posts, is where the Week 1 evidence lives. No model score on this single-book opener.
- Justin Herbert — rushing yards, opened 20.5. Five carries for 29 last week, and the under on 19.5 lost; the opener has moved up one. No model score on this single-book opener.
The line to respect
Omarion Hampton — anytime touchdown, opened -130 at DraftKings. The model is close to a coin flip here (50 on the yes side). He scored in Week 1, but on 12 carries for 43 yards with zero targets; a favorite price on that usage is a question the Week 1 evidence raises and the model has not answered. Omarion Hampton — rushing yards, opened 67.5 is priced 24.5 above what he ran for, on a day the under on 71.5 held; no model score on that single-book opener.
Where the model held in Week 1
Pre-kickoff leans that did not flip and won:
- Ashton Jeanty over 82.5 rushing plus receiving yards (147).
- Tre Tucker under 45.5 receiving yards (27).
- Justin Herbert under 233.5 passing yards (209).
- Omarion Hampton under 71.5 rushing yards (43) and under 2.5 receptions (0).
- Quentin Johnston under 42.5 receiving yards (17).
Prediction stance
No line in this game carried a model lean on the Monday openers; both backs’ touchdown prices are coin flips for the model. The Week 1 evidence sits with Jeanty’s usage and against Herbert’s passing number, and that is as far as we go. Eight markets is a thin board — the receiving lines for McConkey, Njoku and Mayer had not posted at capture and are the first things to check. No spread or total was in the Monday capture.
FAQ
What time is Raiders vs Chargers in Week 2?
Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 4:05 p.m. ET — Las Vegas at Los Angeles.
What is the best Raiders vs Chargers prop?
Nothing in this game carried a model lean on the Monday openers. Ashton Jeanty anytime touchdown at -130 is close to a coin flip for the model (51 on the yes side) after two touchdowns and 29 touches; Justin Herbert’s 234.5 passing yards follows a 209-yard day but carried no model score.
Should I bet Omarion Hampton to score?
The model is close to a coin flip on his -130 price (50 on the yes side). He scored in Week 1 but on 12 carries for 43 yards and no targets.
Live board
Every number above is a Monday opener. The live NFL board carries the current price across the books it tracks and the model’s confidence on both sides. Not a member? Start a monthly plan.
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