College football player props today — #1 Texas Longhorns vs Oklahoma Sooners, Red River Rivalry, Saturday, October 10, 2026 (3:30 PM ET, ABC) at the Cotton Bowl in Dallas.
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Texas Oklahoma predictions
Texas enters the Red River Rivalry 4-0 and ranked No. 1, with wins over Texas State (59-7), Ohio State (24-23), UTSA (30-6) and at Tennessee (20-17). Oklahoma is 2-2. Our play in this one is on the Texas backfield.
The pick: Hollywood Smothers OVER 65.5 rushing + receiving yards (-115, Hard Rock)
- Market: Rush + Rec Yards OVER 65.5
- Price: -115 at Hard Rock Bet
- 2026 scrimmage yards (ESPN game logs): 98 vs Texas State, 89 vs Ohio State, 65 vs UTSA — 84.0 per logged game
- Last 10 logged games (ESPN): cleared 65.5 in 7 of 10
Smothers is a two-way piece in this offense. He has 198 rushing yards on 41 carries (4.8 per carry, two touchdowns) plus seven catches for 54 yards and a receiving touchdown in his three logged games this season, and his lowest output was 65 yards — a half-yard short of this number. The receiving work is what keeps the floor high: he has caught at least two passes in every logged game this season, so he does not need a big rushing day to get there.
At -115 the book is pricing this near a coin flip. His 2026 production averages almost 20 yards over the line, and he has cleared it in 7 of his last 10 logged games. We are on the OVER.
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