The top WNBA pick today, Tuesday, June 30, 2026, is Breanna Stewart Over 2.5 Assists (LV @ NY, tonight). PropsBot’s AI rates the pick at 60.0% Confidence with a 2.2% Edge Score, meaning the modeled probability sits a couple points above the implied number in the -167 price. Best available price: BetOnline.ag -167.
Below is the full breakdown — Confidence Score, Edge Score, sportsbook odds comparison, and historical hit rate data — so you can make a data-backed decision before the tonight tipoff.
| Window | Over Hit Rate | Sportsbook | Line | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L5 / L10 / L20 | 80% / 70% / 60% | BetOnline.ag | 2.5 Assists | -167 |
| Season | 57.9% | BetOnline.ag | 2.5 Assists | -167 |
| H2H vs NY | 0% | BetOnline.ag | 2.5 Assists | -167 |
Is Breanna Stewart a good Over 2.5 Assists bet vs Las Vegas on June 30?

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Why Breanna Stewart Over 2.5 Assists vs Las Vegas?
PropsBot’s AI models assigned a 60.0% Confidence Score to Breanna Stewart over 2.5 Assists tonight. That threshold qualifies as Moderate Confidence in PropsBot’s framework. The pick carries a 2.2% Edge Score, with a -2.9% Confidence Gap between modeled and implied probability.
Breanna Stewart is the engine of New York’s offense, and a 2.5 Assists line is well within reach for a forward who initiates as much as she scores. The matchup against Las Vegas grades neutral — a 103.9 defensive rating, league average — and the model flags a 2.2% Edge Score with the Over hitting in 80% of her last five.
Historical Performance at 2.5 Assists
The Over on 2.5 Assists has hit in 80% of Stewart’s last five, 70% of her last ten, and 57.9% on the season. The recent trend is the signal — she has been distributing at a high clip, and a 2.5 line is a number she clears whenever she is running the offense.
Matchup Context: LV @ NY
Las Vegas grades as a neutral, league-average defense (a 103.9 rating) with a 175.5 game total that points to pace. That is a fine environment for assists to accumulate. A 60% Confidence Score with a 2.2% Edge Score makes this the steadiest WNBA play on the card.
Best Line Available
BetOnline.ag has the Over 2.5 Assists at -167, the best price available. That is the number to take before tipoff.
How PropsBot Grades WNBA Assists Picks
Every PropsBot pick is graded the morning after the game by an automated result-tracker that pulls box-score data from the league’s official site and marks the pick Hit, Miss, Push, or Voided (for player non-appearance). The graded outcome is appended to the post via a green/red callout block, and the per-pick history is published at Performance Methodology. Every entry includes the date, line, book, and graded outcome — nothing is retroactively edited.
How PropsBot Models WNBA Assists Props
Multiple AI models score the prop, then their consensus is summarized into a single Confidence Score and an Edge Score — full methodology at /performance-methodology/.
More WNBA Player Props — June 30, 2026
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Glossary — key terms in this pick
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Sources & Verification
- Career stats: Breanna Stewart on WNBA.com
- Advanced metrics: Breanna Stewart on Basketball-Reference (WNBA)
- Game info: LV at NY on June 30, 2026
Today’s Other AI Picks — June 30, 2026
- Martín Pérez Over 14.5 Pitcher Outs (MLB)
- Cristopher Sanchez Over 6.5 Strikeouts (MLB)
- Michael Harris II Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (MLB)
- Jackie Young Over 17.5 Points (WNBA)
See every PropsBot WNBA daily pick (newest first): /category/wnba-picks/
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PropsBot is a research and analytics tool — not a picks service. Picks reflect AI model output as of June 30, 2026 and may be updated; see our Corrections Policy for how we handle changes after publication. Odds are subject to change.
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