Another high-edge WNBA pick today, Tuesday, June 30, 2026, is Jackie Young Over 17.5 Points (LV @ NY, tonight). PropsBot’s AI rates the pick at 49.0% Confidence with a 7.8% Edge Score, meaning the modeled probability sits nearly eight points above the implied number priced into the -104 line — the widest edge on the card. Best available price: DraftKings -104.
Below is the full breakdown — Confidence Score, Edge Score, sportsbook odds comparison, and historical hit rate data — so you can make a data-backed decision before the tonight tipoff.
| Window | Over Hit Rate | Sportsbook | Line | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L5 / L10 / L20 | 100% / 80% / 55% | DraftKings | 17.5 Points | -104 |
| Season | 52.6% | DraftKings | 17.5 Points | -104 |
| H2H vs NY | 0% | DraftKings | 17.5 Points | -104 |
Is Jackie Young a good Over 17.5 Points bet vs New York on June 30?

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Why Jackie Young Over 17.5 Points vs New York?
PropsBot’s AI models assigned a 49.0% Confidence Score to Jackie Young over 17.5 Points tonight. That threshold qualifies as Speculative in PropsBot’s framework. The pick carries a 7.8% Edge Score, with a -2.2% Confidence Gap between modeled and implied probability.
Jackie Young carries the day’s biggest edge — a 7.8% Edge Score — and she has been scorching, clearing 17.5 Points in all five of her last games and eight of her last ten. The catch is the matchup: New York is a stingy defense (a 102.6 rating, a tough cover), which is why the model’s confidence sits at 49% even with the fat edge.
Historical Performance at 17.5 Points
The Over on 17.5 Points has hit in 100% of Young’s last five and 80% of her last ten, cooling to 55% over the last twenty and 52.6% on the season. The recent form is as hot as it gets; the question is whether it holds against a tough defense.
Matchup Context: LV @ NY
New York grades as a tough, stingy defense — a 102.6 rating the app flags as a hard cover. That is the risk on an Over. But the model still lands a 7.8% Edge Score against a near-pick’em -104 price, betting that Young’s recent scoring form outruns the matchup.
Best Line Available
DraftKings has the Over 17.5 Points at -104 — near even money. With the day’s widest Edge Score behind it, that is the number to take before tipoff, sizing for the tough-matchup risk.
How PropsBot Grades WNBA Points Picks
Every PropsBot pick is graded the morning after the game by an automated result-tracker that pulls box-score data from the league’s official site and marks the pick Hit, Miss, Push, or Voided (for player non-appearance). The graded outcome is appended to the post via a green/red callout block, and the per-pick history is published at Performance Methodology. Every entry includes the date, line, book, and graded outcome — nothing is retroactively edited.
How PropsBot Models WNBA Points Props
Multiple AI models score the prop, then their consensus is summarized into a single Confidence Score and an Edge Score — full methodology at /performance-methodology/.
More WNBA Player Props — June 30, 2026
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Glossary — key terms in this pick
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Sources & Verification
- Career stats: Jackie Young on WNBA.com
- Advanced metrics: Jackie Young on Basketball-Reference (WNBA)
- Game info: LV at NY on June 30, 2026
Today’s Other AI Picks — June 30, 2026
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See every PropsBot WNBA daily pick (newest first): /category/wnba-picks/
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PropsBot is a research and analytics tool — not a picks service. Picks reflect AI model output as of June 30, 2026 and may be updated; see our Corrections Policy for how we handle changes after publication. Odds are subject to change.
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