Another high-edge WNBA pick today, Wednesday, July 22, 2026, is Courtney Vandersloot Over 3.5 Assists (CHI @ NY, 7:00 PM ET). PropsBot’s AI rates the pick at 57.4% Confidence with a 1.0% Edge Score, meaning the modeled probability sits a point above the 61% implied by the price. Best available price: ReBet -155.
Below is the full breakdown — Confidence Score, Edge Score, sportsbook odds comparison, and historical hit rate data — so you can make a data-backed decision before the 7:00 PM ET tipoff.
| Window | Over Hit Rate | Sportsbook | Line | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L5 / L10 / L20 | 60% / 50% / 56% | ReBet | 3.5 Assists | -155 |
| Season | 55% | ReBet | 3.5 Assists | -155 |
| H2H vs NY | 0% | ReBet | 3.5 Assists | -155 |
Is Courtney Vandersloot a good Over 3.5 Assists bet vs New York on July 22?

Want more picks? PropsBot’s AI generates 50+ scored player prop predictions every day across the WNBA, NBA, MLB, and NHL. Try PropsBot free →
Why Courtney Vandersloot Over 3.5 Assists vs New York?
PropsBot’s AI models assigned a 57.4% Confidence Score to Courtney Vandersloot over 3.5 Assists tonight. That threshold qualifies as Moderate Confidence in PropsBot’s framework. The pick carries a 1.0% Edge Score, with a -3.4% Confidence Gap between modeled and implied probability.
Vandersloot is the primary distributor in this game, and her 39.4% assist rate is elite — the single strongest number across today’s WNBA pair. That is the argument for the Over on a 3.5 line: volume of creation. The counterweight is form. She has cleared 3.5 in only three of her last five and half of her last ten, and the Confidence Gap is -3.4%, so the model is fractionally behind the market here too. This is a role-and-rate bet more than a hot-hand bet.
Historical Performance at 3.5 Assists
The windows are middling and consistent: 3 of 5, 5 of 10, 11 of 20, and 55% on the season. Unlike her teammate Cardoso, there is no recent surge to lean on — just a steady coin-flip-plus. The elite assist rate is what tips a 55% history toward a 57.4% model read. No head-to-head sample against New York.
Matchup Context: CHI @ NY
Same game as the Cardoso pick, so the environment is identical: New York at a neutral 104.7 defensive rating, Chicago at 84.8 pace, a 179.5 total. The 8.5 spread matters more for Vandersloot than for a center, because a distributor’s assist volume depends on the team staying in offensive rhythm rather than chasing the game.
Best Line Available
ReBet is best at -155 for 61% implied. Against a 57.4% model number the Edge Score is only 1.0% — the thinnest on today’s board. This is the elite-rate name at a fair-ish price, not a value play; size it as a lean.
How PropsBot Grades WNBA Assists Picks
Every PropsBot pick is graded the morning after the game by an automated result-tracker that pulls box-score data from the league’s official site and marks the pick Hit, Miss, Push, or Voided (for player non-appearance). The graded outcome is appended to the post via a green/red callout block, and the per-pick history is published at Performance Methodology. Every entry includes the date, line, book, and graded outcome — nothing is retroactively edited.
How PropsBot Models WNBA Assists Props
Multiple AI models score the prop, then their consensus is summarized into a single Confidence Score and an Edge Score — full methodology at /performance-methodology/.
More WNBA Player Props — July 22, 2026
Today’s full WNBA slate is available inside PropsBot with Confidence Scores, Edge Scores, and multi-book odds comparisons across every market. Sign up free to access every pick before tipoff.
More PropsBot Resources
- WNBA Picks Today — All Markets
- WNBA Points Props Today
- WNBA Rebounds Props Today
- WNBA Assists Props Today
- Best Props Today — All Sports
- Free AI Player Prop Generator · What Are Positive EV Props?
- Prop Bet Analyzer · AI Sports Picks — How It Works · AI Betting Bot
- Parlay Calculator · Kelly Criterion Calculator · No-Vig Calculator · All Free Calculators
- PrizePicks Picks Today · Underdog Fantasy Picks Today · Sportsbook Comparison
- Daily Picks Archive · All WNBA Picks (newest first) · PropsBot Pricing & Free Trial
Glossary — key terms in this pick
Compare to other AI prop tools
Sources & Verification
- Career stats: Courtney Vandersloot on WNBA.com
- Advanced metrics: Courtney Vandersloot on Basketball-Reference (WNBA)
- Game info: CHI at NY on July 22, 2026
Today’s Other AI Picks — July 22, 2026
See every PropsBot WNBA daily pick (newest first): /category/wnba-picks/
Responsible gambling. This pick is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Bet within your means. Most US states require bettors to be 21+ — check your local legal age before placing any wager.
If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US national helpline) or visit ncpgambling.org for state-specific resources.
PropsBot is a research and analytics tool — not a picks service. Picks reflect AI model output as of July 22, 2026 and may be updated; see our Corrections Policy for how we handle changes after publication. Odds are subject to change.
Get every AI pick, Confidence Score, and prop edge inside the app.
See Today’s AI Picks