The top WNBA pick today, Wednesday, July 22, 2026, is Kamilla Cardoso Over 1.5 Assists (CHI @ NY, 7:00 PM ET). PropsBot’s AI rates the pick at 62.0% Confidence with a 2.9% Edge Score, meaning the modeled probability sits about three points above the 66% priced into the market. Best available price: Fliff -190.
Below is the full breakdown — Confidence Score, Edge Score, sportsbook odds comparison, and historical hit rate data — so you can make a data-backed decision before the 7:00 PM ET tipoff.
| Window | Over Hit Rate | Sportsbook | Line | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L5 / L10 / L20 | 100% / 80% / 75% | Fliff | 1.5 Assists | -190 |
| Season | 68% | Fliff | 1.5 Assists | -190 |
| H2H vs NY | 0% | Fliff | 1.5 Assists | -190 |
Is Kamilla Cardoso a good Over 1.5 Assists bet vs New York on July 22?

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Why Kamilla Cardoso Over 1.5 Assists vs New York?
PropsBot’s AI models assigned a 62.0% Confidence Score to Kamilla Cardoso over 1.5 Assists tonight. That threshold qualifies as Moderate Confidence in PropsBot’s framework. The pick carries a 2.9% Edge Score, with a -3.5% Confidence Gap between modeled and implied probability.
The recent form is the whole case, and it is genuinely strong: Cardoso has cleared 1.5 assists in all five of her last five, eight of her last ten, and 68% across the season. For a center that is a notable playmaking stretch. The tension is that the underlying profile is ordinary for the market’s price: a 16.9% assist rate and a 21.2% usage rate are solid without screaming distributor, and PropsBot’s Confidence Gap is negative at -3.5%, meaning the book is a touch more sure of this than the model is.
Historical Performance at 1.5 Assists
Every recent window points up: 5 of 5, 8 of 10, 15 of 20, and 68% on the season. There is no head-to-head history against New York on record, so the read leans on form and role rather than a specific matchup. A perfect L5 is the kind of number that regresses, so treat the trend as real but not a guarantee.
Matchup Context: CHI @ NY
PropsBot grades New York as a neutral spot with a 104.7 defensive rating, right around league average. Chicago plays at 84.8 pace and the game carries a 179.5 total, both of which support possessions and therefore assist chances. The 8.5 spread is the caution: if Chicago falls behind, the offense can tilt away from the interior touches that generate her assists.
Best Line Available
Fliff has the best number at -190, implying 66%. That is a steep price, and it is the single biggest knock on this pick: against a 62.0% model read you are paying above fair. The form justifies interest; the price caps how much of an edge is actually left.
How PropsBot Grades WNBA Assists Picks
Every PropsBot pick is graded the morning after the game by an automated result-tracker that pulls box-score data from the league’s official site and marks the pick Hit, Miss, Push, or Voided (for player non-appearance). The graded outcome is appended to the post via a green/red callout block, and the per-pick history is published at Performance Methodology. Every entry includes the date, line, book, and graded outcome — nothing is retroactively edited.
How PropsBot Models WNBA Assists Props
Multiple AI models score the prop, then their consensus is summarized into a single Confidence Score and an Edge Score — full methodology at /performance-methodology/.
More WNBA Player Props — July 22, 2026
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Glossary — key terms in this pick
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Sources & Verification
- Career stats: Kamilla Cardoso on WNBA.com
- Advanced metrics: Kamilla Cardoso on Basketball-Reference (WNBA)
- Game info: CHI at NY on July 22, 2026
Today’s Other AI Picks — July 22, 2026
See every PropsBot WNBA daily pick (newest first): /category/wnba-picks/
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PropsBot is a research and analytics tool — not a picks service. Picks reflect AI model output as of July 22, 2026 and may be updated; see our Corrections Policy for how we handle changes after publication. Odds are subject to change.
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