NFL Week 4 · Sunday, October 4, 2026 · 1:00 p.m. ET · Jaguars at Bengals
Jaguars vs Bengals kicks off Sunday, October 4 at 1:00 p.m. ET with a board total of 51.5, the highest on the Week 4 slate, and Cincinnati a 2.5-point favorite. The model’s one read is Ja’Marr Chase Under 6.5 receptions at a confidence of 61.
The line
At the Tuesday, Sep 29, 3:12 p.m. ET board capture, the game total was 51.5 and the spread stamp read Jaguars +2.5, making Cincinnati a 2.5-point favorite. The board carried 239 props for this game, 73 with a model score. Lines move until kickoff; the live NFL board has current numbers.
Model reads
The six highest-scored props on this card at capture. PropsBot counts a prop as a read only at a confidence of 60 or higher. One of the six clears it.
| Player | Prop | Price (book) | Confidence | 60+ read? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja’Marr Chase (CIN) | Under 6.5 receptions | +102 BetOnline.ag | 61 | Read |
| Joe Burrow (CIN) | Over 1.5 passing TDs | −200 FanDuel | 59 | No (below 60) |
| Chase Brown (CIN) | Under 16.5 rush attempts | −105 Fliff | 59 | No (below 60) |
| Chase Brown (CIN) | Anytime TD (Yes) | −155 BetMGM | 58 | No (below 60) |
| Parker Washington (JAC) | Under 5.5 receptions | −125 DraftKings | 58 | No (below 60) |
| Bhayshul Tuten (JAC) | Under 12.5 longest rush | −115 Fliff | 58 | No (below 60) |
Matchup context
Jacksonville’s defense has allowed 12.0 points per game, the fewest in the league, with 4 interceptions (tied for most) and only 2 touchdowns on 10 red-zone trips. Wide receivers have caught 32 passes for 527 yards against the Jaguars, seventh-most yards, which is the number working against the Chase under. The Chase Brown props face a run defense that has held running backs to 173 rushing yards, fourth-fewest.
Defense figures: 2026 season through Week 3 (nflverse play-by-play).
Other props on the card
Five props sit just under the bar: Joe Burrow Over 1.5 passing TDs (59, −200 FanDuel), Chase Brown Under 16.5 rush attempts (59, −105 Fliff), Chase Brown anytime TD (58, −155 BetMGM), Parker Washington Under 5.5 receptions (58, −125 DraftKings) and Bhayshul Tuten Under 12.5 longest rush (58, −115 Fliff). Close, but none is a read. The board scored 73 of 239 props for this game.
FAQ
What is the best Jaguars vs Bengals player prop?
Ja’Marr Chase Under 6.5 receptions at a confidence of 61, priced +102 at BetOnline.ag at the Tuesday, Sep 29, 3:12 p.m. ET capture. It is the only prop on the card at 60 or higher.
Does the model take Joe Burrow over 1.5 passing touchdowns?
It scores 59 at -200 (FanDuel), one point under the 60 bar, so it is not a read. Jacksonville has allowed 2 passing touchdowns to quarterbacks in three games, tied for fewest.
What are the Jaguars vs Bengals spread and total?
Total 51.5, the highest on the Week 4 board, and a spread stamp of Jaguars +2.5, so Cincinnati is a 2.5-point favorite at the Tuesday, Sep 29, 3:12 p.m. ET capture.
More Week 4: NFL Week 4 picks · anytime touchdown scorer picks · NFL defense rankings · defense vs position · live NFL board
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