NFL Week 4 · Sunday, October 4, 2026 · 1:00 p.m. ET · Jets at Bears
Jets vs Bears kicks off Sunday, October 4 at 1:00 p.m. ET with a board total of 43 and Chicago a 3-point favorite. There is no 60+ read: the model’s top-scored prop is D’Andre Swift to score an anytime touchdown at 58, below the bar, and all six top-scored props are touchdown markets.
David’s touchdown pick for this game: Luther Burden III (+225). Prices as quoted in his Week 4 touchdown video. Every game’s TD pick and his 2+ list →
The line
At the Tuesday, Sep 29, 3:12 p.m. ET board capture, the game total was 43 and the spread stamp read Jets +3, making Chicago a 3-point favorite. The board carried 117 props for this game, 27 with a model score. Lines move until kickoff; the live NFL board has current numbers.
Model reads
The six highest-scored props on this card at capture. PropsBot counts a prop as a read only at a confidence of 60 or higher. None of the six clears it, so this card has no read.
| Player | Prop | Price (book) | Confidence | 60+ read? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D’Andre Swift (CHI) | Anytime TD (Yes) | −155 Fanatics | 58 | No (below 60) |
| Breece Hall (NYJ) | Anytime TD (Yes) | −115 Fanatics | 51 | No (below 60) |
| Garrett Wilson (NYJ) | Anytime TD (Yes) | +115 Fanatics | 44 | No (below 60) |
| Braelon Allen (NYJ) | Anytime TD (Yes) | −105 Fanatics | 39 | No (below 60) |
| Kyle Monangai (CHI) | Anytime TD (Yes) | +175 Fanatics | 37 | No (below 60) |
| Kenyon Sadiq (NYJ) | Anytime TD (Yes) | +190 Fanatics | 31 | No (below 60) |
Matchup context
The Jets have allowed 258.3 total yards per game, second-fewest in the league, yet running backs have scored 4 touchdowns against them, tied for fourth-most — the defense Swift faces. Chicago has 3 interceptions and 6 takeaways (tied for third-most) and has allowed no touchdowns to tight ends, which is what Kenyon Sadiq (31) runs into. Opponents have scored touchdowns on 5 of 7 red-zone trips against the Bears.
Defense figures: 2026 season through Week 3 (nflverse play-by-play).
Other props on the card
Only 27 of 117 props on the board for this game carry a model score. Behind Swift: Breece Hall 51 (−115), Garrett Wilson 44 (+115), Braelon Allen 39 (−105), Kyle Monangai 37 (+175) and Sadiq 31 (+190), all anytime TD prices at Fanatics. None is a read. Swift at −155 is the shortest price of the six, and the model’s 58 still sits two points below the bar.
FAQ
Is there a PropsBot pick for Jets vs Bears?
Not at the Tuesday, Sep 29, 3:12 p.m. ET capture. The top-scored prop is D’Andre Swift anytime TD at 58, below the 60 bar.
Who does the model rate most likely to score in Jets vs Bears?
D’Andre Swift has the highest anytime TD score on the card at 58 (-155 at Fanatics), followed by Breece Hall at 51. Neither is a read.
What are the Jets vs Bears spread and total?
Total 43 and a spread stamp of Jets +3, so Chicago is a 3-point favorite at the Tuesday, Sep 29, 3:12 p.m. ET capture.
More Week 4: NFL Week 4 picks · anytime touchdown scorer picks · NFL defense rankings · defense vs position · live NFL board
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